IBIT @ $42.94

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-57.1%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $45 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $273,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $45 CALL

21 Sep 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.26 / mid $0.27 · $1,300 this cycle

4.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$7,800

Annualized

44%

EV / cycle

+$794

If assigned

-$273,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.74/share ($3,698 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $45.55.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$45.00	7d	+$0.22	$0.18 to $0.27	68%	51%
Up And Out	$45.06	7d	+$0.19	$0.14 to $0.24	69%	52%
Ss Escape	$51.06	44d	+$0.05	$-0.20 to $0.11	85%	83%
Safety Up	$53.06	44d	-$0.21	$-0.52 to $-0.16	89%	88%
Reliable Up	$48.06	37d	+$0.50	$0.33 to $0.61	78%	72%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $47 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $264,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $47 CALL

21 Sep 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.08 · $400 this cycle

9.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$2,400

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$325

If assigned

-$264,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.81/share ($4,069 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $47.47.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$47.00	7d	+$0.24	$0.27 to $0.34	69%	51%
Up And Out	$47.06	7d	+$0.21	$0.23 to $0.30	69%	52%
Ss Escape	$54.06	44d	+$0.02	$-0.02 to $0.26	86%	84%
Reliable Up	$53.06	44d	+$0.18	$0.17 to $0.44	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $44 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $277,500 (premium included).

Called-away odds31%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $44 CALL

21 Sep 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.50 / mid $0.51 · $2,500 this cycle

2.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

69%

Income / mo

$15,000

Annualized

85%

EV / cycle

+$1,149

If assigned

-$277,500

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.70/share ($3,520 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 2 at spot $44.54.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$44.00	7d	+$0.21	$0.15 to $0.22	68%	51%
Up And Out	$44.06	7d	+$0.18	$0.12 to $0.18	69%	52%
Ss Escape	$49.56	44d	+$0.05	$-0.30 to $-0.01	85%	82%
Safety Up	$52.06	44d	-$0.25	$-0.67 to $-0.34	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$47.06	37d	+$0.43	$0.17 to $0.40	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $256,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $0.65 / mid $0.66 · $3,250 this cycle

11.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,635

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$1,680

If assigned

-$256,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.07/share ($10,362 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $48.56.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.00	44d	+$0.33	$0.28 to $0.44	68%	52%
Up And Out	$48.56	44d	+$0.06	$-0.01 to $0.13	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$48.56	44d	+$0.06	$-0.01 to $0.13	70%	56%
Safety Up	$50.06	44d	-$0.55	$-0.66 to $-0.51	75%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $257,400 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.52 / mid $0.53 · $2,600 this cycle

11.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$2,600

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$1,435

If assigned

-$257,400

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.88/share ($9,409 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $48.60.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.00	37d	+$0.35	$0.31 to $0.47	68%	52%
Up And Out	$48.56	37d	+$0.08	$0.01 to $0.17	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$49.06	44d	+$0.19	$0.09 to $0.33	71%	59%
Safety Up	$51.06	44d	-$0.52	$-0.69 to $-0.42	78%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $45 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $269,000 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $45 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $1.20 / mid $1.21 · $6,000 this cycle

4.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$6,000

Annualized

34%

EV / cycle

+$2,159

If assigned

-$269,000

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.63/share ($8,141 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $45.54.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$45.00	37d	+$0.30	$0.21 to $0.29	68%	52%
Up And Out	$45.56	37d	+$0.03	$-0.07 to $-0.00	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$46.06	44d	+$0.10	$-0.06 to $0.05	72%	60%
Safety Up	$51.06	44d	-$1.15	$-1.59 to $-1.33	88%	87%
Reliable Up	$45.56	44d	+$0.31	$0.17 to $0.28	70%	57%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-16 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.