IBIT @ $43.06

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-56.9%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $45 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $273,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $45 CALL

23 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.25 / mid $0.26 · $1,250 this cycle

4.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$6,250

Annualized

35%

EV / cycle

+$729

If assigned

-$273,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.70/share ($3,518 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $45.47.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$45.00	8d	+$0.18	$0.15 to $0.22	67%	51%
Ss Escape	$50.44	43d	+$0.06	$-0.16 to $0.13	85%	82%
Safety Up	$51.94	43d	-$0.16	$-0.42 to $-0.10	88%	87%
Reliable Up	$48.94	36d	+$0.16	$-0.04 to $0.24	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $46 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $267,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $46 CALL

23 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.09 / mid $0.10 · $450 this cycle

8.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$2,250

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$341

If assigned

-$267,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.76/share ($3,799 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $47.02.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$46.50	8d	+$0.20	$0.18 to $0.27	67%	51%
Ss Escape	$52.44	43d	+$0.07	$-0.09 to $0.28	85%	82%
Safety Up	$53.44	43d	-$0.09	$-0.28 to $0.11	87%	85%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $44 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $277,550 (premium included).

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $44 CALL

23 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.49 / mid $0.50 · $2,450 this cycle

2.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$12,250

Annualized

69%

EV / cycle

+$1,026

If assigned

-$277,550

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.67/share ($3,337 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $44.47.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$44.00	8d	+$0.17	$0.12 to $0.17	67%	51%
Ss Escape	$49.44	43d	+$0.00	$-0.29 to $-0.06	86%	83%
Safety Up	$51.94	43d	-$0.29	$-0.67 to $-0.38	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$47.44	36d	+$0.21	$-0.03 to $0.17	81%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $257,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.58 / mid $0.58 · $2,900 this cycle

11.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$2,417

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$1,526

If assigned

-$257,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.96/share ($9,817 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $48.57.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.00	43d	+$0.30	$0.24 to $0.40	68%	52%
Up And Out	$48.44	43d	+$0.09	$0.02 to $0.16	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$48.44	43d	+$0.09	$0.02 to $0.16	69%	55%
Safety Up	$49.94	43d	-$0.50	$-0.63 to $-0.47	75%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $257,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.58 / mid $0.58 · $2,900 this cycle

11.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$2,417

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$1,526

If assigned

-$257,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.96/share ($9,817 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $48.57.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.00	43d	+$0.30	$0.24 to $0.40	68%	52%
Up And Out	$48.44	43d	+$0.09	$0.02 to $0.16	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$48.44	43d	+$0.09	$0.02 to $0.16	69%	55%
Safety Up	$49.94	43d	-$0.50	$-0.63 to $-0.47	75%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $45 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $268,450 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $45 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.31 / mid $1.32 · $6,550 this cycle

4.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$5,458

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$2,273

If assigned

-$268,450

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.69/share ($8,461 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $45.50.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$45.00	43d	+$0.26	$0.18 to $0.24	68%	52%
Up And Out	$45.44	43d	+$0.05	$-0.05 to $0.02	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$45.44	43d	+$0.05	$-0.05 to $0.02	69%	56%
Safety Up	$50.44	43d	-$1.30	$-1.70 to $-1.47	88%	87%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-17 03:51 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.