IBIT @ $43.28

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-56.7%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $45 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $273,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $45 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.23 / mid $0.23 · $1,150 this cycle

4.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$4,929

Annualized

28%

EV / cycle

+$645

If assigned

-$273,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.66/share ($3,281 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $45.40.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$45.00	10d	+$0.17	$0.13 to $0.22	68%	51%
Up And Out	$45.22	10d	+$0.06	$-0.00 to $0.10	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$49.72	42d	+$0.05	$-0.16 to $0.09	85%	82%
Safety Up	$51.72	42d	-$0.22	$-0.48 to $-0.20	90%	88%
Reliable Up	$48.72	42d	+$0.25	$0.07 to $0.30	81%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $46 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $272,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $46 CALL

23 Sep 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.09 / mid $0.10 · $450 this cycle

5.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$2,700

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$323

If assigned

-$272,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.56/share ($2,796 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $45.88.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$45.50	7d	+$0.18	$0.17 to $0.24	69%	51%
Up And Out	$45.72	7d	+$0.07	$0.03 to $0.11	71%	56%
Ss Escape	$51.22	42d	+$0.05	$-0.10 to $0.18	87%	84%
Safety Up	$52.22	42d	-$0.07	$-0.23 to $0.06	89%	87%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $44 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $278,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds31%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $44 CALL

23 Sep 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.36 / mid $0.37 · $1,800 this cycle

1.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

69%

Income / mo

$10,800

Annualized

61%

EV / cycle

+$810

If assigned

-$278,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.51/share ($2,555 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 2 at spot $44.37.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$44.00	7d	+$0.17	$0.12 to $0.17	69%	51%
Up And Out	$44.22	7d	+$0.06	$-0.02 to $0.04	71%	57%
Ss Escape	$49.22	42d	+$0.04	$-0.23 to $-0.01	86%	84%
Safety Up	$50.72	42d	-$0.13	$-0.44 to $-0.20	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$47.72	42d	+$0.32	$0.09 to $0.27	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $259,800 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.54 / mid $0.55 · $2,700 this cycle

9.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,314

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,439

If assigned

-$259,800

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.72/share ($8,598 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $47.99.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$47.50	42d	+$0.33	$0.29 to $0.41	68%	52%
Up And Out	$47.72	42d	+$0.22	$0.17 to $0.28	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$47.72	42d	+$0.22	$0.17 to $0.28	69%	54%
Safety Up	$49.22	42d	-$0.42	$-0.53 to $-0.39	75%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $259,800 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.54 / mid $0.55 · $2,700 this cycle

9.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,314

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,439

If assigned

-$259,800

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.72/share ($8,598 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $47.99.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$47.50	42d	+$0.33	$0.29 to $0.41	68%	52%
Up And Out	$47.72	42d	+$0.22	$0.17 to $0.28	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$47.72	42d	+$0.22	$0.17 to $0.28	69%	54%
Safety Up	$49.22	42d	-$0.42	$-0.53 to $-0.39	75%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $45 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $269,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $45 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.16 / mid $1.17 · $5,800 this cycle

4.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$4,971

Annualized

28%

EV / cycle

+$2,096

If assigned

-$269,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.51/share ($7,529 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $45.48.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$45.00	42d	+$0.29	$0.23 to $0.28	68%	52%
Up And Out	$45.22	42d	+$0.18	$0.12 to $0.16	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$45.22	42d	+$0.18	$0.12 to $0.16	69%	54%
Safety Up	$49.72	42d	-$1.13	$-1.49 to $-1.30	88%	87%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-18 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.