IBIT @ $46.08

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-53.9%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $258,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.33 / mid $0.34 · $1,650 this cycle

4.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$8,250

Annualized

44%

EV / cycle

+$1,029

If assigned

-$258,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.75/share ($3,758 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $48.51.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.00	9d	+$0.22	$0.18 to $0.28	67%	51%
Up And Out	$48.42	9d	+$0.03	$-0.05 to $0.06	71%	58%
Ss Escape	$52.92	41d	+$0.17	$-0.05 to $0.23	84%	80%
Safety Up	$55.92	41d	-$0.24	$-0.52 to $-0.21	91%	90%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $249,500 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.11 · $500 this cycle

8.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$2,500

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$380

If assigned

-$249,500

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.83/share ($4,134 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $50.54.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$50.00	9d	+$0.25	$0.26 to $0.40	67%	51%
Up And Out	$50.42	9d	+$0.06	$0.03 to $0.18	70%	58%
Ss Escape	$55.92	41d	+$0.13	$0.05 to $0.35	85%	82%
Safety Up	$56.92	41d	-$0.01	$-0.10 to $0.21	88%	85%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $47 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $262,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $47 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.59 / mid $0.59 · $2,950 this cycle

2.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$14,750

Annualized

78%

EV / cycle

+$1,293

If assigned

-$262,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.72/share ($3,576 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $47.53.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$47.00	9d	+$0.21	$0.14 to $0.22	67%	51%
Up And Out	$47.42	9d	+$0.02	$-0.09 to $0.00	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$51.92	41d	+$0.10	$-0.22 to $0.05	84%	81%
Safety Up	$54.92	41d	-$0.28	$-0.69 to $-0.37	92%	91%
Reliable Up	$50.42	41d	+$0.42	$0.16 to $0.40	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $51 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $241,800 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $51 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.64 / mid $0.65 · $3,200 this cycle

10.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,824

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$1,670

If assigned

-$241,800

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.96/share ($9,782 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $51.57.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$51.00	41d	+$0.36	$0.32 to $0.48	68%	52%
Up And Out	$51.42	41d	+$0.15	$0.10 to $0.25	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$51.42	41d	+$0.15	$0.10 to $0.25	69%	55%
Safety Up	$53.42	41d	-$0.63	$-0.77 to $-0.57	76%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $52 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $236,800 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $52 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $0.64 / mid $0.66 · $3,200 this cycle

12.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$2,341

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$1,939

If assigned

-$236,800

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $253,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $1.36 / mid $1.37 · $6,800 this cycle

4.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$6,000

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$2,391

If assigned

-$253,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.70/share ($8,487 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $48.53.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.00	41d	+$0.31	$0.24 to $0.30	68%	52%
Up And Out	$48.42	41d	+$0.11	$0.02 to $0.08	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$48.42	41d	+$0.11	$0.02 to $0.08	69%	55%
Safety Up	$53.92	41d	-$1.32	$-1.74 to $-1.50	90%	89%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-19 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.