IBIT @ $48.99

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-51.0%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $52 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $238,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $52 CALL

30 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.39 / mid $0.40 · $1,950 this cycle

6.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$7,312

Annualized

36%

EV / cycle

+$1,087

If assigned

-$238,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.04/share ($5,224 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $52.63.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$52.00	10d	+$0.23	$0.20 to $0.29	67%	51%
Up And Out	$52.51	10d	+$0.00	$-0.07 to $0.02	70%	58%
Ss Escape	$57.01	38d	+$0.13	$-0.11 to $0.26	82%	77%
Safety Up	$58.01	31d	-$0.29	$-0.59 to $-0.19	85%	83%
Reliable Up	$56.01	38d	+$0.36	$0.17 to $0.51	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $54 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $229,450 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $54 CALL

28 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.11 · $550 this cycle

10.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$2,750

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$427

If assigned

-$229,450

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.99/share ($4,936 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $54.63.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$54.00	8d	+$0.26	$0.26 to $0.37	67%	51%
Up And Out	$54.51	8d	+$0.03	$-0.03 to $0.11	71%	58%
Ss Escape	$60.01	38d	+$0.25	$0.13 to $0.54	83%	79%
Safety Up	$60.01	31d	-$0.02	$-0.17 to $0.26	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $246,400 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

28 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.72 / mid $0.73 · $3,600 this cycle

2.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$18,000

Annualized

89%

EV / cycle

+$1,399

If assigned

-$246,400

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.83/share ($4,164 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $50.63.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$50.00	8d	+$0.22	$0.16 to $0.22	67%	51%
Ss Escape	$56.01	38d	+$0.00	$-0.41 to $-0.09	85%	82%
Safety Up	$61.01	38d	-$0.48	$-1.03 to $-0.61	93%	92%
Reliable Up	$53.01	38d	+$0.66	$0.38 to $0.62	77%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $55 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $220,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $55 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.83 / mid $0.84 · $4,150 this cycle

12.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$3,276

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$2,106

If assigned

-$220,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $55 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $221,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $55 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.65 / mid $0.66 · $3,250 this cycle

12.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$3,145

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$1,710

If assigned

-$221,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.20/share ($10,985 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $55.68.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$55.00	38d	+$0.42	$0.37 to $0.56	68%	52%
Up And Out	$55.51	38d	+$0.20	$0.14 to $0.30	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$55.51	38d	+$0.20	$0.14 to $0.30	70%	56%
Safety Up	$57.01	38d	-$0.41	$-0.53 to $-0.36	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $51 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $237,250 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $51 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.55 / mid $1.56 · $7,750 this cycle

4.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$7,500

Annualized

37%

EV / cycle

+$2,631

If assigned

-$237,250

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.86/share ($9,275 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $51.61.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$51.00	38d	+$0.36	$0.27 to $0.33	68%	52%
Up And Out	$51.51	38d	+$0.13	$0.03 to $0.09	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$51.51	38d	+$0.13	$0.03 to $0.09	70%	56%
Safety Up	$57.01	38d	-$1.34	$-1.80 to $-1.55	88%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-22 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.