IBIT @ $48.88

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-51.1%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $51 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $243,650 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $51 CALL

28 Sep 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.27 / mid $0.28 · $1,350 this cycle

4.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$8,100

Annualized

40%

EV / cycle

+$832

If assigned

-$243,650

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.74/share ($3,702 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $51.52.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$51.00	7d	+$0.24	$0.20 to $0.30	68%	51%
Up And Out	$51.12	7d	+$0.18	$0.13 to $0.23	69%	53%
Ss Escape	$57.12	37d	+$0.08	$-0.17 to $0.16	85%	82%
Safety Up	$56.12	23d	-$0.19	$-0.47 to $-0.14	87%	84%
Reliable Up	$56.12	37d	+$0.27	$0.04 to $0.36	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $54 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $229,250 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $54 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.15 · $750 this cycle

10.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$2,500

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$545

If assigned

-$229,250

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.17/share ($5,831 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $54.70.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$54.00	12d	+$0.25	$0.25 to $0.45	67%	51%
Up And Out	$54.12	12d	+$0.19	$0.18 to $0.38	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$59.12	37d	+$0.07	$-0.09 to $0.39	82%	77%
Safety Up	$60.12	37d	-$0.13	$-0.34 to $0.18	84%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $247,550 (premium included).

Called-away odds30%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

28 Sep 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.49 / mid $0.49 · $2,450 this cycle

2.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

70%

Income / mo

$14,700

Annualized

73%

EV / cycle

+$1,137

If assigned

-$247,550

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.71/share ($3,532 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $50.56.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$50.00	7d	+$0.23	$0.17 to $0.24	68%	51%
Up And Out	$50.12	7d	+$0.17	$0.10 to $0.17	69%	53%
Ss Escape	$56.12	37d	+$0.03	$-0.32 to $-0.03	86%	83%
Safety Up	$61.12	37d	-$0.42	$-0.89 to $-0.51	94%	93%
Reliable Up	$53.12	37d	+$0.68	$0.45 to $0.68	78%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $54 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $226,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $54 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.68 / mid $0.69 · $3,400 this cycle

10.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$3,400

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$1,743

If assigned

-$226,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.05/share ($10,255 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $54.64.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$54.00	37d	+$0.41	$0.36 to $0.55	68%	52%
Up And Out	$54.62	37d	+$0.12	$0.05 to $0.23	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$54.62	37d	+$0.12	$0.05 to $0.23	70%	56%
Safety Up	$56.12	37d	-$0.46	$-0.60 to $-0.40	75%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $55 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $222,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $55 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.53 / mid $0.54 · $2,650 this cycle

12.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$2,650

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,464

If assigned

-$222,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.14/share ($10,689 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $55.64.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$55.00	37d	+$0.43	$0.39 to $0.56	68%	52%
Up And Out	$55.62	37d	+$0.14	$0.08 to $0.25	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$55.62	37d	+$0.14	$0.08 to $0.25	70%	56%
Safety Up	$57.12	37d	-$0.45	$-0.58 to $-0.38	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $51 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $237,950 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $51 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $1.41 / mid $1.42 · $7,050 this cycle

4.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$7,050

Annualized

35%

EV / cycle

+$2,491

If assigned

-$237,950

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.80/share ($9,007 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $51.63.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$51.00	37d	+$0.37	$0.28 to $0.35	68%	52%
Up And Out	$51.62	37d	+$0.07	$-0.03 to $0.04	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$51.62	37d	+$0.07	$-0.03 to $0.04	70%	57%
Safety Up	$57.12	37d	-$1.36	$-1.84 to $-1.57	89%	87%
Reliable Up	$51.12	37d	+$0.30	$0.21 to $0.29	68%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-23 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.