IBIT @ $47.85

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU6241782
Shares5,000
Avg cost$100.00
Drawdown-52.1%
IV regimeMEDIUM
Writable50
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $248,550 (premium included).
Called-away odds18%
SaferRiskier
SELL 50 × $50 CALL
30 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.29 / mid $0.30 · $1,450 this cycle
4.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
82%
Income / mo
$7,250
Annualized
37%
EV / cycle
+$837
If assigned
-$248,550
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.79/share ($3,944 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $50.59.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$50.008d+$0.23$0.21 to $0.2868%51%
Up And Out$50.158d+$0.16$0.12 to $0.1969%53%
Ss Escape$55.1536d+$0.12$-0.13 to $0.2083%80%
Safety Up$57.1536d-$0.19$-0.50 to $-0.1488%86%
Reliable Up$54.1536d+$0.33$0.12 to $0.4281%76%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $52 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $239,200 (premium included).
Called-away odds7%
SaferRiskier
SELL 50 × $52 CALL
2 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.17 · $800 this cycle
8.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
93%
Income / mo
$3,000
Annualized
15%
EV / cycle
+$660
If assigned
-$239,200
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.02/share ($5,098 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $52.60.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$52.0011d+$0.25$0.25 to $0.4268%51%
Up And Out$52.1511d+$0.17$0.16 to $0.3369%53%
Ss Escape$57.1536d+$0.05$-0.10 to $0.3082%79%
Safety Up$58.1536d-$0.13$-0.31 to $0.1085%82%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $49 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $252,350 (premium included).
Called-away odds31%
SaferRiskier
SELL 50 × $49 CALL
30 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.53 / mid $0.54 · $2,650 this cycle
2.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
69%
Income / mo
$13,250
Annualized
67%
EV / cycle
+$1,091
If assigned
-$252,350
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.75/share ($3,765 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $49.55.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$49.008d+$0.22$0.18 to $0.2468%51%
Up And Out$49.158d+$0.14$0.10 to $0.1469%54%
Ss Escape$54.1536d+$0.06$-0.24 to $0.0284%81%
Safety Up$56.1529d-$0.39$-0.79 to $-0.4891%90%
Reliable Up$53.1536d+$0.27$0.00 to $0.2481%77%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $54 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $226,800 (premium included).
Called-away odds17%
SaferRiskier
SELL 50 × $54 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.64 / mid $0.65 · $3,200 this cycle
12.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
83%
Income / mo
$2,667
Annualized
14%
EV / cycle
+$1,758
If assigned
-$226,800
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $54 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $226,800 (premium included).
Called-away odds17%
SaferRiskier
SELL 50 × $54 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.64 / mid $0.65 · $3,200 this cycle
12.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
83%
Income / mo
$2,667
Annualized
14%
EV / cycle
+$1,758
If assigned
-$226,800
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $242,200 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 50 × $50 CALL
30 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.56 / mid $1.58 · $7,800 this cycle
4.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$6,500
Annualized
33%
EV / cycle
+$2,761
If assigned
-$242,200
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-24 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.