IBIT @ $47.81

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-52.2%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $248,300 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.34 / mid $0.34 · $1,700 this cycle

4.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$7,286

Annualized

37%

EV / cycle

+$954

If assigned

-$248,300

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.86/share ($4,293 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $50.54.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$50.00	10d	+$0.21	$0.16 to $0.28	68%	51%
Up And Out	$50.19	10d	+$0.12	$0.05 to $0.18	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$55.19	42d	+$0.16	$-0.08 to $0.21	82%	79%
Safety Up	$57.19	35d	-$0.34	$-0.65 to $-0.31	89%	87%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $51 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $244,450 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $51 CALL

30 Sep 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.11 · $550 this cycle

6.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$3,300

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$420

If assigned

-$244,450

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.74/share ($3,705 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $51.53.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$51.00	7d	+$0.26	$0.23 to $0.33	69%	51%
Up And Out	$51.19	7d	+$0.16	$0.11 to $0.21	70%	54%
Ss Escape	$57.19	35d	+$0.02	$-0.15 to $0.21	86%	83%
Reliable Up	$56.19	35d	+$0.19	$0.04 to $0.39	83%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $254,650 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

30 Sep 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.57 / mid $0.58 · $2,850 this cycle

1.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$17,100

Annualized

87%

EV / cycle

+$1,157

If assigned

-$254,650

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.66/share ($3,278 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 2 at spot $49.03.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.50	7d	+$0.23	$0.17 to $0.22	69%	51%
Up And Out	$48.69	7d	+$0.13	$0.04 to $0.11	70%	55%
Ss Escape	$53.69	35d	+$0.06	$-0.30 to $-0.03	85%	82%
Safety Up	$55.69	28d	-$0.35	$-0.82 to $-0.47	91%	91%
Reliable Up	$53.19	42d	+$0.37	$0.05 to $0.30	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $53 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $231,400 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $53 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.72 / mid $0.73 · $3,600 this cycle

10.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$3,086

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$1,849

If assigned

-$231,400

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.15/share ($10,758 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $53.62.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$53.00	42d	+$0.37	$0.31 to $0.45	68%	52%
Up And Out	$53.69	42d	+$0.05	$-0.04 to $0.09	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$53.69	42d	+$0.05	$-0.04 to $0.09	70%	57%
Safety Up	$55.69	42d	-$0.72	$-0.90 to $-0.71	76%	69%
Reliable Up	$53.19	42d	+$0.28	$0.21 to $0.35	69%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $54 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $227,150 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $54 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.57 / mid $0.57 · $2,850 this cycle

12.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$2,443

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$1,604

If assigned

-$227,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.25/share ($11,228 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $54.61.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$54.00	42d	+$0.38	$0.34 to $0.54	68%	52%
Up And Out	$54.69	42d	+$0.06	$-0.01 to $0.18	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$54.69	42d	+$0.06	$-0.01 to $0.18	70%	57%
Safety Up	$56.19	42d	-$0.54	$-0.67 to $-0.46	74%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $242,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.46 / mid $1.48 · $7,300 this cycle

4.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$6,257

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$2,627

If assigned

-$242,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.88/share ($9,407 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $50.58.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$50.00	42d	+$0.33	$0.24 to $0.30	68%	52%
Up And Out	$50.69	42d	+$0.01	$-0.10 to $-0.04	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$50.69	42d	+$0.01	$-0.10 to $-0.04	70%	57%
Safety Up	$55.19	42d	-$1.29	$-1.71 to $-1.47	86%	83%
Reliable Up	$50.19	42d	+$0.24	$0.14 to $0.21	69%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-25 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.