IBIT @ $47.53

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-52.5%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $251,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

30 Sep 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.15 · $750 this cycle

4.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$4,500

Annualized

23%

EV / cycle

+$383

If assigned

-$251,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.55/share ($2,725 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $49.98.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$49.50	7d	+$0.23	$0.22 to $0.27	66%	51%
Up And Out	$49.97	7d	+$0.03	$-0.05 to $0.04	71%	60%
Ss Escape	$56.97	42d	+$0.01	$-0.20 to $0.07	87%	86%
Safety Up	$56.97	35d	-$0.13	$-0.36 to $-0.08	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$55.97	42d	+$0.15	$-0.04 to $0.22	85%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $51 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $244,450 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $51 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.11 · $550 this cycle

7.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$2,357

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$361

If assigned

-$244,450

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.74/share ($3,714 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $51.54.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$51.00	10d	+$0.23	$0.24 to $0.36	66%	51%
Up And Out	$51.47	10d	+$0.03	$-0.01 to $0.12	70%	59%
Ss Escape	$57.47	42d	+$0.05	$-0.11 to $0.23	85%	82%
Safety Up	$58.47	42d	-$0.09	$-0.28 to $0.08	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$56.47	42d	+$0.22	$0.09 to $0.42	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $255,000 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.50 / mid $0.51 · $2,500 this cycle

2.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$10,714

Annualized

55%

EV / cycle

+$726

If assigned

-$255,000

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.66/share ($3,289 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $49.02.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.50	10d	+$0.20	$0.15 to $0.22	66%	51%
Ss Escape	$53.97	42d	+$0.09	$-0.20 to $0.00	84%	81%
Safety Up	$55.97	35d	-$0.32	$-0.68 to $-0.43	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$52.97	42d	+$0.29	$0.05 to $0.22	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $53 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $232,150 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $53 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.57 / mid $0.58 · $2,850 this cycle

11.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$2,443

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,393

If assigned

-$232,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.99/share ($9,973 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $53.60.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$53.00	42d	+$0.39	$0.35 to $0.48	67%	52%
Up And Out	$53.47	42d	+$0.17	$0.12 to $0.23	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$53.47	42d	+$0.17	$0.12 to $0.23	69%	55%
Safety Up	$54.97	42d	-$0.42	$-0.53 to $-0.40	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $53 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $232,150 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $53 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.57 / mid $0.58 · $2,850 this cycle

11.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$2,443

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,393

If assigned

-$232,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.99/share ($9,973 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $53.60.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$53.00	42d	+$0.39	$0.35 to $0.48	67%	52%
Up And Out	$53.47	42d	+$0.17	$0.12 to $0.23	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$53.47	42d	+$0.17	$0.12 to $0.23	69%	55%
Safety Up	$54.97	42d	-$0.42	$-0.53 to $-0.40	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $245,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.36 / mid $1.38 · $6,800 this cycle

4.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$5,829

Annualized

30%

EV / cycle

+$2,030

If assigned

-$245,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.70/share ($8,505 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $50.05.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$49.50	42d	+$0.34	$0.27 to $0.32	67%	52%
Up And Out	$49.97	42d	+$0.12	$0.04 to $0.09	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$49.97	42d	+$0.12	$0.04 to $0.09	69%	56%
Safety Up	$55.97	42d	-$1.36	$-1.83 to $-1.58	90%	89%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-25 21:47 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.