IBIT @ $47.58

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-52.4%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $251,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.23 / mid $0.23 · $1,150 this cycle

4.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$5,750

Annualized

29%

EV / cycle

+$685

If assigned

-$251,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.68/share ($3,421 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $49.97.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$49.50	9d	+$0.21	$0.14 to $0.25	65%	51%
Up And Out	$49.92	9d	+$0.02	$-0.05 to $0.06	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$55.92	41d	+$0.01	$-0.22 to $0.09	86%	84%
Safety Up	$55.92	34d	-$0.17	$-0.42 to $-0.10	88%	86%
Reliable Up	$54.92	41d	+$0.19	$-0.01 to $0.26	84%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $246,950 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.11 · $550 this cycle

6.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$2,750

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$361

If assigned

-$246,950

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.72/share ($3,596 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $51.01.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$50.50	9d	+$0.22	$0.16 to $0.29	65%	51%
Up And Out	$50.92	9d	+$0.03	$-0.02 to $0.09	71%	58%
Ss Escape	$56.92	41d	+$0.07	$-0.13 to $0.17	85%	83%
Safety Up	$57.92	41d	-$0.06	$-0.28 to $0.04	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$55.92	41d	+$0.25	$0.08 to $0.35	83%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $255,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.48 / mid $0.48 · $2,400 this cycle

1.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$12,000

Annualized

61%

EV / cycle

+$1,013

If assigned

-$255,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.65/share ($3,250 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $49.01.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.50	9d	+$0.20	$0.10 to $0.19	65%	51%
Up And Out	$48.92	9d	+$0.01	$-0.09 to $-0.01	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$53.92	41d	+$0.13	$-0.18 to $0.07	84%	81%
Safety Up	$55.92	34d	-$0.30	$-0.70 to $-0.40	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$52.92	41d	+$0.36	$0.10 to $0.32	82%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $53 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $232,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $53 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.58 / mid $0.59 · $2,900 this cycle

11.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$2,559

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,537

If assigned

-$232,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.04/share ($10,187 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $53.57.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$53.00	41d	+$0.41	$0.37 to $0.52	68%	52%
Up And Out	$53.42	41d	+$0.21	$0.16 to $0.30	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$53.42	41d	+$0.21	$0.16 to $0.30	69%	55%
Safety Up	$54.92	41d	-$0.40	$-0.52 to $-0.36	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $53 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $232,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $53 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.58 / mid $0.59 · $2,900 this cycle

11.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$2,559

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,537

If assigned

-$232,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.04/share ($10,187 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $53.57.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$53.00	41d	+$0.41	$0.37 to $0.52	68%	52%
Up And Out	$53.42	41d	+$0.21	$0.16 to $0.30	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$53.42	41d	+$0.21	$0.16 to $0.30	69%	55%
Safety Up	$54.92	41d	-$0.40	$-0.52 to $-0.36	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $245,450 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $1.41 / mid $1.42 · $7,050 this cycle

4.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$6,221

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$2,613

If assigned

-$245,450

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.73/share ($8,664 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $50.04.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$49.50	41d	+$0.36	$0.29 to $0.34	68%	52%
Up And Out	$49.92	41d	+$0.16	$0.08 to $0.12	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$49.92	41d	+$0.16	$0.08 to $0.12	69%	55%
Safety Up	$55.92	41d	-$1.38	$-1.87 to $-1.59	90%	89%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-26 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.