IBIT @ $47.12

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-52.9%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $49 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $253,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $49 CALL

5 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.28 / mid $0.29 · $1,400 this cycle

4.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$7,000

Annualized

36%

EV / cycle

+$814

If assigned

-$253,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.71/share ($3,553 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $49.50.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$49.00	8d	+$0.20	$0.17 to $0.23	67%	51%
Up And Out	$49.38	8d	+$0.01	$-0.05 to $0.03	71%	58%
Ss Escape	$54.88	38d	+$0.00	$-0.24 to $0.06	85%	83%
Safety Up	$56.88	38d	-$0.27	$-0.57 to $-0.23	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$53.88	38d	+$0.18	$-0.03 to $0.25	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $51 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $244,150 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $51 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.17 · $850 this cycle

8.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$2,550

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$581

If assigned

-$244,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.03/share ($5,149 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $51.53.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$51.00	13d	+$0.19	$0.19 to $0.32	67%	51%
Ss Escape	$55.38	38d	+$0.12	$-0.02 to $0.36	81%	76%
Safety Up	$56.38	38d	-$0.11	$-0.27 to $0.12	83%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $257,300 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

5 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.54 / mid $0.55 · $2,700 this cycle

1.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$13,500

Annualized

70%

EV / cycle

+$1,146

If assigned

-$257,300

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.68/share ($3,377 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $48.50.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.00	8d	+$0.19	$0.14 to $0.19	67%	51%
Up And Out	$48.38	8d	+$0.00	$-0.08 to $-0.02	71%	58%
Ss Escape	$53.38	38d	+$0.03	$-0.29 to $-0.05	85%	82%
Safety Up	$55.88	38d	-$0.30	$-0.70 to $-0.40	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$51.38	38d	+$0.48	$0.24 to $0.43	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $52 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $237,000 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $52 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.60 / mid $0.61 · $3,000 this cycle

10.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$2,903

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$1,605

If assigned

-$237,000

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.93/share ($9,653 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $52.57.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$52.00	38d	+$0.41	$0.36 to $0.52	68%	52%
Up And Out	$52.38	38d	+$0.22	$0.16 to $0.30	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$52.38	38d	+$0.22	$0.16 to $0.30	69%	55%
Safety Up	$54.38	38d	-$0.57	$-0.71 to $-0.53	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $53 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $231,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $53 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.63 / mid $0.66 · $3,150 this cycle

12.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$2,487

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,629

If assigned

-$231,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $49 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $248,300 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $49 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.34 / mid $1.35 · $6,700 this cycle

4.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$6,484

Annualized

33%

EV / cycle

+$2,369

If assigned

-$248,300

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.68/share ($8,404 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $49.56.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$49.00	38d	+$0.36	$0.28 to $0.34	68%	52%
Up And Out	$49.38	38d	+$0.17	$0.08 to $0.14	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$49.38	38d	+$0.17	$0.08 to $0.14	69%	55%
Safety Up	$54.88	38d	-$1.31	$-1.77 to $-1.51	89%	88%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-29 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.