IBIT @ $47.41

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU6241782
Shares5,000
Avg cost$100.00
Drawdown-52.6%
IV regimeMEDIUM
Writable50
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $251,450 (premium included).
Called-away odds16%
SaferRiskier
SELL 50 × $50 CALL
7 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.21 / mid $0.21 · $1,050 this cycle
4.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
84%
Income / mo
$5,250
Annualized
27%
EV / cycle
+$638
If assigned
-$251,450
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.68/share ($3,386 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $49.95.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$49.508d+$0.21$0.19 to $0.2667%51%
Up And Out$49.598d+$0.16$0.13 to $0.2068%53%
Ss Escape$54.5936d+$0.08$-0.10 to $0.1784%81%
Safety Up$56.0936d-$0.15$-0.37 to $-0.0788%86%
Reliable Up$54.0936d+$0.19$0.02 to $0.2883%79%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $51 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $244,350 (premium included).
Called-away odds9%
SaferRiskier
SELL 50 × $51 CALL
9 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.14 · $650 this cycle
7.6%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
91%
Income / mo
$2,438
Annualized
13%
EV / cycle
+$453
If assigned
-$244,350
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.87/share ($4,349 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $51.48.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$51.0011d+$0.19$0.19 to $0.3567%51%
Up And Out$51.0911d+$0.15$0.14 to $0.3068%52%
Ss Escape$55.5936d+$0.10$-0.00 to $0.3482%78%
Safety Up$56.5936d-$0.10$-0.23 to $0.1285%82%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $254,650 (premium included).
Called-away odds33%
SaferRiskier
SELL 50 × $48 CALL
9 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.57 / mid $0.58 · $2,850 this cycle
2.3%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
67%
Income / mo
$10,687
Annualized
55%
EV / cycle
+$1,109
If assigned
-$254,650
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.77/share ($3,844 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $49.00.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$48.5011d+$0.17$0.10 to $0.1667%51%
Up And Out$48.5911d+$0.12$0.05 to $0.1268%53%
Ss Escape$52.5936d+$0.09$-0.19 to $0.0282%78%
Safety Up$56.0936d-$0.44$-0.85 to $-0.5591%90%
Reliable Up$51.5936d+$0.34$0.10 to $0.2979%73%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $52 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $234,200 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 50 × $52 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.66 / mid $0.69 · $3,300 this cycle
10.7%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$2,750
Annualized
14%
EV / cycle
+$1,616
If assigned
-$234,200
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $53 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $232,100 (premium included).
Called-away odds17%
SaferRiskier
SELL 50 × $53 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.58 / mid $0.62 · $2,900 this cycle
11.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
83%
Income / mo
$2,417
Annualized
12%
EV / cycle
+$1,492
If assigned
-$232,100
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $245,350 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 50 × $50 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.43 / mid $1.46 · $7,150 this cycle
4.4%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$5,958
Annualized
31%
EV / cycle
+$2,448
If assigned
-$245,350
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-01 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.