IBIT @ $47.91

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-52.1%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $251,300 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

7 Oct 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.24 / mid $0.25 · $1,200 this cycle

3.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$7,200

Annualized

37%

EV / cycle

+$685

If assigned

-$251,300

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.62/share ($3,112 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $49.97.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$49.50	7d	+$0.21	$0.17 to $0.25	68%	51%
Up And Out	$49.59	7d	+$0.16	$0.12 to $0.19	69%	53%
Ss Escape	$54.59	35d	+$0.13	$-0.10 to $0.18	84%	81%
Safety Up	$56.59	35d	-$0.15	$-0.44 to $-0.13	89%	88%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $51 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $244,250 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $51 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.15 · $750 this cycle

6.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$3,214

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$521

If assigned

-$244,250

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.82/share ($4,086 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $51.52.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$51.00	10d	+$0.18	$0.16 to $0.32	68%	51%
Up And Out	$51.09	10d	+$0.14	$0.11 to $0.26	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$56.09	35d	+$0.04	$-0.15 to $0.21	83%	80%
Safety Up	$57.09	35d	-$0.11	$-0.30 to $0.05	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$55.59	35d	+$0.14	$-0.03 to $0.31	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $254,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

7 Oct 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.53 / mid $0.54 · $2,650 this cycle

1.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$15,900

Annualized

81%

EV / cycle

+$1,032

If assigned

-$254,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.59/share ($2,954 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 2 at spot $48.99.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.50	7d	+$0.20	$0.15 to $0.19	68%	51%
Up And Out	$48.59	7d	+$0.15	$0.09 to $0.14	69%	53%
Ss Escape	$53.59	35d	+$0.08	$-0.24 to $0.00	85%	82%
Safety Up	$53.59	21d	-$0.32	$-0.71 to $-0.42	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$53.09	42d	+$0.33	$0.04 to $0.26	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $53 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $231,550 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $53 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.69 / mid $0.72 · $3,450 this cycle

10.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$2,957

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$1,704

If assigned

-$231,550

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.17/share ($10,850 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $53.60.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$53.00	42d	+$0.27	$0.19 to $0.36	68%	52%
Up And Out	$53.09	42d	+$0.23	$0.14 to $0.31	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$53.09	42d	+$0.23	$0.14 to $0.31	68%	53%
Safety Up	$55.09	42d	-$0.60	$-0.76 to $-0.59	75%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $53 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $231,550 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $53 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.69 / mid $0.72 · $3,450 this cycle

10.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$2,957

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$1,704

If assigned

-$231,550

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.17/share ($10,850 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $53.60.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$53.00	42d	+$0.27	$0.19 to $0.36	68%	52%
Up And Out	$53.09	42d	+$0.23	$0.14 to $0.31	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$53.09	42d	+$0.23	$0.14 to $0.31	68%	53%
Safety Up	$55.09	42d	-$0.60	$-0.76 to $-0.59	75%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $242,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.45 / mid $1.49 · $7,250 this cycle

4.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$6,214

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$2,527

If assigned

-$242,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.90/share ($9,482 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $50.58.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$50.00	42d	+$0.24	$0.12 to $0.20	68%	52%
Up And Out	$50.09	42d	+$0.20	$0.08 to $0.15	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$50.09	42d	+$0.20	$0.08 to $0.15	68%	53%
Safety Up	$54.59	42d	-$1.28	$-1.69 to $-1.47	85%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-02 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.