IBIT @ $47.65

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-52.3%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $251,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.19 · $900 this cycle

3.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$4,500

Annualized

23%

EV / cycle

+$550

If assigned

-$251,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.64/share ($3,185 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $49.91.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$49.50	9d	+$0.17	$0.14 to $0.26	67%	51%
Up And Out	$49.85	9d	+$0.00	$-0.06 to $0.05	71%	58%
Ss Escape	$54.85	41d	+$0.13	$-0.05 to $0.21	84%	81%
Safety Up	$56.85	41d	-$0.15	$-0.38 to $-0.09	89%	88%
Reliable Up	$54.35	41d	+$0.24	$0.07 to $0.32	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $249,400 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.12 · $600 this cycle

4.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$3,000

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$415

If assigned

-$249,400

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.65/share ($3,271 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $50.45.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$50.00	9d	+$0.18	$0.16 to $0.28	67%	51%
Up And Out	$50.35	9d	+$0.01	$-0.04 to $0.07	71%	58%
Ss Escape	$55.35	41d	+$0.16	$0.00 to $0.27	84%	81%
Safety Up	$56.35	41d	-$0.00	$-0.19 to $0.09	86%	84%
Reliable Up	$54.85	41d	+$0.27	$0.12 to $0.39	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $255,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.44 · $2,150 this cycle

1.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$10,750

Annualized

55%

EV / cycle

+$916

If assigned

-$255,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.60/share ($3,016 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $48.95.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.50	9d	+$0.16	$0.10 to $0.17	67%	51%
Ss Escape	$53.85	41d	+$0.08	$-0.21 to $0.02	85%	82%
Safety Up	$55.85	34d	-$0.30	$-0.67 to $-0.38	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$52.35	41d	+$0.42	$0.19 to $0.39	81%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $52 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $234,400 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $52 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.62 / mid $0.65 · $3,100 this cycle

10.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,735

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$1,552

If assigned

-$234,400

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.01/share ($10,063 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $53.08.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$52.50	41d	+$0.33	$0.28 to $0.43	68%	52%
Up And Out	$52.85	41d	+$0.16	$0.10 to $0.24	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$52.85	41d	+$0.16	$0.10 to $0.24	69%	55%
Safety Up	$54.35	41d	-$0.48	$-0.62 to $-0.45	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $53 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $232,300 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $53 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.54 / mid $0.56 · $2,700 this cycle

11.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$2,382

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$1,417

If assigned

-$232,300

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.06/share ($10,289 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $53.56.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$53.00	41d	+$0.34	$0.29 to $0.46	68%	52%
Up And Out	$53.35	41d	+$0.17	$0.11 to $0.27	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$53.35	41d	+$0.17	$0.11 to $0.27	69%	55%
Safety Up	$54.85	41d	-$0.48	$-0.60 to $-0.41	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $245,500 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $1.40 / mid $1.44 · $7,000 this cycle

3.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$6,176

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$2,408

If assigned

-$245,500

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.75/share ($8,756 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $50.04.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$49.50	41d	+$0.29	$0.20 to $0.26	68%	52%
Up And Out	$49.85	41d	+$0.12	$0.03 to $0.09	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$49.85	41d	+$0.12	$0.03 to $0.09	69%	55%
Safety Up	$54.85	41d	-$1.34	$-1.80 to $-1.55	88%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-03 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.