IBIT @ $48.52

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-51.5%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $51 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $243,300 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $51 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.34 / mid $0.35 · $1,700 this cycle

5.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$5,100

Annualized

26%

EV / cycle

+$913

If assigned

-$243,300

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.93/share ($4,642 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $51.50.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$51.00	13d	+$0.19	$0.16 to $0.25	67%	51%
Ss Escape	$56.48	45d	+$0.08	$-0.14 to $0.14	83%	80%
Safety Up	$58.48	45d	-$0.24	$-0.51 to $-0.19	88%	86%
Reliable Up	$55.48	45d	+$0.30	$0.12 to $0.38	81%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $52 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $239,000 (premium included).

Called-away odds11%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $52 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.21 · $1,000 this cycle

7.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

89%

Income / mo

$3,000

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$662

If assigned

-$239,000

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.97/share ($4,871 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $52.48.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$52.00	13d	+$0.20	$0.19 to $0.31	67%	51%
Ss Escape	$57.48	45d	+$0.14	$-0.01 to $0.30	83%	79%
Safety Up	$59.48	45d	-$0.20	$-0.40 to $-0.05	87%	85%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $250,300 (premium included).

Called-away odds30%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

12 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.44 / mid $0.45 · $2,200 this cycle

2.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

70%

Income / mo

$11,000

Annualized

55%

EV / cycle

+$984

If assigned

-$250,300

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.63/share ($3,128 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $49.93.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$49.50	10d	+$0.38	$0.32 to $0.38	67%	51%
Up And Out	$49.98	10d	+$0.16	$0.06 to $0.15	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$55.98	45d	+$0.11	$-0.17 to $0.08	86%	84%
Safety Up	$57.98	45d	-$0.13	$-0.46 to $-0.18	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$54.98	45d	+$0.29	$0.03 to $0.26	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $54 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $226,550 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $54 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.69 / mid $0.70 · $3,450 this cycle

11.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,724

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$1,752

If assigned

-$226,550

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.28/share ($11,389 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $54.61.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$54.00	45d	+$0.37	$0.32 to $0.49	68%	52%
Up And Out	$54.48	45d	+$0.13	$0.06 to $0.21	70%	55%
Ss Escape	$54.48	45d	+$0.13	$0.06 to $0.21	70%	55%
Safety Up	$56.48	45d	-$0.68	$-0.83 to $-0.65	76%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $54 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $227,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $54 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.53 / mid $0.55 · $2,650 this cycle

11.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$2,565

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,485

If assigned

-$227,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.03/share ($10,143 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $54.59.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$54.00	38d	+$0.38	$0.34 to $0.51	68%	52%
Up And Out	$54.48	38d	+$0.15	$0.09 to $0.26	70%	55%
Ss Escape	$55.48	45d	+$0.12	$0.01 to $0.27	72%	61%
Safety Up	$56.48	45d	-$0.27	$-0.41 to $-0.14	75%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $240,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.33 / mid $1.36 · $6,650 this cycle

4.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$6,435

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$2,363

If assigned

-$240,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.73/share ($8,668 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $51.06.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$50.50	38d	+$0.33	$0.24 to $0.31	68%	52%
Up And Out	$50.98	38d	+$0.10	$-0.01 to $0.06	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$51.98	45d	+$0.02	$-0.16 to $-0.05	73%	62%
Safety Up	$55.98	38d	-$1.31	$-1.76 to $-1.50	88%	87%
Reliable Up	$50.98	45d	+$0.44	$0.31 to $0.41	69%	56%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-06 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.