IBIT @ $48.91

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-51.1%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $51 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $243,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $51 CALL

14 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.28 / mid $0.30 · $1,400 this cycle

4.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$5,250

Annualized

26%

EV / cycle

+$682

If assigned

-$243,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.78/share ($3,888 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $51.50.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$51.00	10d	+$0.18	$0.15 to $0.22	67%	51%
Up And Out	$51.09	10d	+$0.14	$0.10 to $0.17	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$57.09	45d	+$0.11	$-0.12 to $0.18	84%	82%
Safety Up	$60.09	45d	-$0.27	$-0.56 to $-0.21	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$56.09	45d	+$0.30	$0.10 to $0.38	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $52 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $239,400 (premium included).

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $52 CALL

13 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.13 · $600 this cycle

6.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$2,571

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$385

If assigned

-$239,400

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.75/share ($3,726 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $52.46.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$52.00	8d	+$0.09	$0.07 to $0.11	68%	51%
Up And Out	$52.09	8d	+$0.04	$0.00 to $0.06	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$59.09	45d	+$0.09	$-0.05 to $0.22	86%	83%
Safety Up	$60.09	45d	-$0.04	$-0.19 to $0.09	88%	86%
Reliable Up	$58.09	45d	+$0.26	$0.14 to $0.40	84%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $249,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

12 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.53 / mid $0.54 · $2,650 this cycle

1.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$13,250

Annualized

66%

EV / cycle

+$880

If assigned

-$249,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.58/share ($2,909 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 2 at spot $49.96.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$49.50	7d	+$0.09	$0.06 to $0.08	67%	51%
Up And Out	$49.59	7d	+$0.04	$-0.00 to $0.03	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$56.59	45d	+$0.04	$-0.28 to $-0.05	87%	86%
Safety Up	$58.59	45d	-$0.15	$-0.52 to $-0.26	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$54.59	45d	+$0.37	$0.11 to $0.30	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $54 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $227,150 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $54 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.57 / mid $0.60 · $2,850 this cycle

10.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$2,758

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$1,381

If assigned

-$227,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.00/share ($9,978 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $54.58.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$54.00	38d	+$0.37	$0.31 to $0.49	68%	52%
Up And Out	$54.59	38d	+$0.09	$0.01 to $0.19	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$55.09	45d	+$0.26	$0.15 to $0.41	71%	59%
Safety Up	$57.09	45d	-$0.48	$-0.66 to $-0.36	77%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $54 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $227,150 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $54 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.57 / mid $0.60 · $2,850 this cycle

10.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$2,758

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$1,381

If assigned

-$227,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.00/share ($9,978 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $54.58.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$54.00	38d	+$0.37	$0.31 to $0.49	68%	52%
Up And Out	$54.59	38d	+$0.09	$0.01 to $0.19	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$55.09	45d	+$0.26	$0.15 to $0.41	71%	59%
Safety Up	$57.09	45d	-$0.48	$-0.66 to $-0.36	77%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $51 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $237,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $51 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $1.58 / mid $1.60 · $7,900 this cycle

4.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$6,237

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$2,599

If assigned

-$237,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.97/share ($9,846 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $51.58.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$51.00	45d	+$0.30	$0.21 to $0.28	68%	52%
Up And Out	$51.09	45d	+$0.26	$0.17 to $0.23	68%	53%
Ss Escape	$51.09	45d	+$0.26	$0.17 to $0.23	68%	53%
Safety Up	$57.09	45d	-$1.49	$-1.96 to $-1.71	88%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-06 21:49 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.