IBIT @ $48.48

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-51.5%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $248,800 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

12 Oct 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.24 / mid $0.24 · $1,200 this cycle

3.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$7,200

Annualized

36%

EV / cycle

+$696

If assigned

-$248,800

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.58/share ($2,888 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $50.58.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$50.00	6d	+$0.13	$0.15 to $0.23	67%	51%
Ss Escape	$57.52	44d	+$0.05	$-0.20 to $0.06	88%	86%
Safety Up	$59.52	44d	-$0.15	$-0.45 to $-0.16	91%	91%
Reliable Up	$56.52	44d	+$0.19	$-0.03 to $0.20	86%	84%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $51 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $244,500 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $51 CALL

12 Oct 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.11 · $500 this cycle

5.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$3,000

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$371

If assigned

-$244,500

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.61/share ($3,026 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $51.55.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$51.00	6d	+$0.14	$0.16 to $0.24	67%	51%
Ss Escape	$58.52	44d	+$0.11	$-0.04 to $0.20	87%	85%
Safety Up	$59.52	44d	-$0.02	$-0.20 to $0.06	89%	88%
Reliable Up	$57.52	44d	+$0.26	$0.12 to $0.37	85%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $249,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.66 / mid $0.67 · $3,300 this cycle

2.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$11,000

Annualized

55%

EV / cycle

+$1,264

If assigned

-$249,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.81/share ($4,063 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $50.00.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$49.50	12d	+$0.16	$0.10 to $0.17	67%	51%
Up And Out	$49.52	12d	+$0.15	$0.09 to $0.16	67%	51%
Ss Escape	$55.02	44d	+$0.02	$-0.29 to $-0.07	84%	81%
Safety Up	$58.02	44d	-$0.38	$-0.78 to $-0.50	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$54.02	44d	+$0.23	$-0.04 to $0.15	82%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $54 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $226,700 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $54 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $0.66 / mid $0.68 · $3,300 this cycle

11.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,676

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,673

If assigned

-$226,700

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.25/share ($11,234 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $54.58.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$54.00	44d	+$0.36	$0.31 to $0.47	68%	52%
Up And Out	$54.52	44d	+$0.10	$0.03 to $0.19	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$54.52	44d	+$0.10	$0.03 to $0.19	69%	56%
Safety Up	$55.52	44d	-$0.31	$-0.41 to $-0.25	73%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $54 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $227,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $54 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.48 / mid $0.51 · $2,400 this cycle

11.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$2,400

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$1,261

If assigned

-$227,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.00/share ($9,983 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $54.56.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$54.00	37d	+$0.37	$0.33 to $0.53	68%	52%
Up And Out	$54.52	37d	+$0.12	$0.06 to $0.24	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$55.52	44d	+$0.11	$0.01 to $0.29	72%	61%
Safety Up	$56.52	44d	-$0.27	$-0.41 to $-0.11	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $241,150 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $1.27 / mid $1.31 · $6,350 this cycle

4.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$6,350

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$2,246

If assigned

-$241,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.71/share ($8,533 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $51.03.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$50.50	37d	+$0.32	$0.23 to $0.31	68%	52%
Up And Out	$51.02	37d	+$0.07	$-0.03 to $0.04	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$52.02	44d	+$0.01	$-0.16 to $-0.05	73%	63%
Safety Up	$57.02	44d	-$1.22	$-1.66 to $-1.40	89%	87%
Reliable Up	$51.02	44d	+$0.42	$0.28 to $0.39	70%	56%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-07 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.