IBIT @ $47.11

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-52.9%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $49 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $253,650 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $49 CALL

14 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.27 / mid $0.29 · $1,350 this cycle

4.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$6,750

Annualized

35%

EV / cycle

+$756

If assigned

-$253,650

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.71/share ($3,539 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $49.50.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$49.00	8d	+$0.20	$0.18 to $0.24	68%	51%
Up And Out	$49.39	8d	+$0.01	$-0.06 to $0.03	71%	58%
Ss Escape	$54.89	43d	+$0.14	$-0.09 to $0.20	85%	82%
Safety Up	$57.89	43d	-$0.23	$-0.53 to $-0.19	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$52.89	43d	+$0.57	$0.40 to $0.65	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $249,500 (premium included).

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

13 Oct 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.11 · $500 this cycle

6.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$3,000

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$388

If assigned

-$249,500

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.66/share ($3,316 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $50.48.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$50.00	6d	+$0.12	$0.09 to $0.13	67%	51%
Ss Escape	$56.89	43d	+$0.14	$0.00 to $0.29	86%	84%
Safety Up	$57.89	43d	-$0.01	$-0.16 to $0.14	88%	87%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $257,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds31%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

13 Oct 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.44 · $2,150 this cycle

1.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

69%

Income / mo

$12,900

Annualized

67%

EV / cycle

+$972

If assigned

-$257,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.60/share ($2,991 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 2 at spot $48.47.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.00	6d	+$0.11	$0.08 to $0.10	66%	51%
Ss Escape	$54.89	43d	+$0.02	$-0.30 to $-0.04	88%	86%
Safety Up	$56.89	43d	-$0.18	$-0.55 to $-0.26	91%	91%
Reliable Up	$51.89	43d	+$0.58	$0.35 to $0.54	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $52 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $234,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $52 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.66 / mid $0.67 · $3,300 this cycle

11.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,750

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$1,708

If assigned

-$234,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.17/share ($10,867 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $53.08.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$52.50	43d	+$0.37	$0.32 to $0.50	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$52.39	43d	+$0.42	$0.38 to $0.55	68%	52%
Safety Up	$54.39	43d	-$0.45	$-0.56 to $-0.39	74%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $53 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $232,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $53 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.58 / mid $0.59 · $2,900 this cycle

12.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$2,417

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$1,559

If assigned

-$232,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.22/share ($11,105 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $53.61.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$53.00	43d	+$0.38	$0.33 to $0.51	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$52.89	43d	+$0.43	$0.39 to $0.56	68%	52%
Safety Up	$54.89	43d	-$0.45	$-0.56 to $-0.39	74%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $49 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $247,250 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $49 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $1.55 / mid $1.56 · $7,750 this cycle

4.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$6,458

Annualized

33%

EV / cycle

+$2,638

If assigned

-$247,250

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.85/share ($9,272 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $49.57.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$49.00	43d	+$0.32	$0.23 to $0.29	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$48.89	43d	+$0.37	$0.29 to $0.35	68%	51%
Safety Up	$55.89	43d	-$1.52	$-2.06 to $-1.78	91%	90%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-08 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.