IBIT @ $46.26

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-53.7%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $258,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

15 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.28 / mid $0.30 · $1,400 this cycle

3.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$7,000

Annualized

37%

EV / cycle

+$789

If assigned

-$258,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.72/share ($3,602 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $48.49.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.00	7d	+$0.09	$0.07 to $0.11	68%	51%
Ss Escape	$53.74	42d	+$0.10	$-0.15 to $0.14	85%	82%
Safety Up	$56.74	42d	-$0.28	$-0.61 to $-0.28	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$52.74	42d	+$0.29	$0.07 to $0.34	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $49 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $254,500 (premium included).

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $49 CALL

14 Oct 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.11 · $500 this cycle

5.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$3,000

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$375

If assigned

-$254,500

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.70/share ($3,476 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $49.50.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$49.00	6d	+$0.10	$0.07 to $0.12	67%	51%
Ss Escape	$55.74	42d	+$0.07	$-0.13 to $0.18	86%	84%
Safety Up	$56.74	42d	-$0.06	$-0.27 to $0.05	88%	87%
Reliable Up	$53.74	35d	+$0.23	$0.08 to $0.36	83%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $47 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $262,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $47 CALL

14 Oct 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.48 / mid $0.49 · $2,400 this cycle

1.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$14,400

Annualized

76%

EV / cycle

+$963

If assigned

-$262,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.63/share ($3,139 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 2 at spot $47.50.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$47.00	6d	+$0.10	$0.05 to $0.08	67%	51%
Ss Escape	$52.74	42d	+$0.11	$-0.23 to $0.03	85%	83%
Safety Up	$55.74	42d	-$0.24	$-0.66 to $-0.35	91%	91%
Reliable Up	$50.74	42d	+$0.52	$0.26 to $0.47	80%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $52 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $239,250 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $52 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.65 / mid $0.66 · $3,250 this cycle

11.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,786

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$1,691

If assigned

-$239,250

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.15/share ($10,761 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $52.10.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$51.50	42d	+$0.34	$0.29 to $0.46	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$51.24	42d	+$0.47	$0.42 to $0.60	67%	51%
Safety Up	$53.24	42d	-$0.44	$-0.56 to $-0.37	74%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $52 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $237,150 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $52 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.57 / mid $0.58 · $2,850 this cycle

12.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$2,443

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,547

If assigned

-$237,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.20/share ($11,000 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $52.59.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$52.00	42d	+$0.35	$0.30 to $0.50	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$51.74	42d	+$0.47	$0.42 to $0.64	67%	51%
Safety Up	$53.74	42d	-$0.43	$-0.55 to $-0.35	74%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $252,150 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.57 / mid $1.58 · $7,850 this cycle

3.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$6,729

Annualized

35%

EV / cycle

+$2,627

If assigned

-$252,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.83/share ($9,156 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $48.57.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.00	42d	+$0.30	$0.20 to $0.25	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$47.74	42d	+$0.42	$0.33 to $0.39	67%	50%
Safety Up	$54.74	42d	-$1.52	$-2.07 to $-1.80	91%	90%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-09 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.