IBIT @ $46.70

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-53.3%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $256,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

14 Oct 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.20 · $750 this cycle

3.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$4,500

Annualized

23%

EV / cycle

+$335

If assigned

-$256,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.62/share ($3,096 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $48.99.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.50	6d	+$0.05	$-0.02 to $0.05	65%	51%
Ss Escape	$54.80	42d	+$0.10	$-0.15 to $0.14	86%	84%
Safety Up	$56.80	42d	-$0.14	$-0.44 to $-0.12	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$51.80	28d	+$0.22	$0.02 to $0.26	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $251,800 (premium included).

Called-away odds11%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.15 · $700 this cycle

6.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

89%

Income / mo

$3,000

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$436

If assigned

-$251,800

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.75/share ($3,773 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $50.04.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$49.50	10d	+$0.14	$0.09 to $0.24	65%	51%
Ss Escape	$55.80	42d	+$0.03	$-0.14 to $0.17	86%	83%
Safety Up	$56.80	42d	-$0.12	$-0.31 to $0.01	88%	86%
Reliable Up	$54.30	35d	+$0.08	$-0.07 to $0.21	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $259,800 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.54 / mid $0.55 · $2,700 this cycle

1.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$11,571

Annualized

60%

EV / cycle

+$519

If assigned

-$259,800

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.69/share ($3,427 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $48.03.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$47.50	10d	+$0.13	$0.03 to $0.10	65%	51%
Ss Escape	$52.80	42d	+$0.07	$-0.21 to $-0.03	85%	82%
Safety Up	$55.80	42d	-$0.29	$-0.68 to $-0.42	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$51.80	42d	+$0.26	$0.02 to $0.18	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $52 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $236,950 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $52 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.61 / mid $0.62 · $3,050 this cycle

11.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$2,614

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$1,553

If assigned

-$236,950

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.28/share ($11,412 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $52.58.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$52.00	42d	+$0.16	$0.05 to $0.30	68%	52%
Up And Out	$52.30	42d	+$0.00	$-0.12 to $0.14	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$52.30	42d	+$0.00	$-0.12 to $0.14	69%	54%
Safety Up	$53.30	42d	-$0.43	$-0.58 to $-0.32	72%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $52 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $234,800 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $52 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.54 / mid $0.55 · $2,700 this cycle

12.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$2,314

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$1,444

If assigned

-$234,800

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.33/share ($11,665 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $53.10.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$52.50	42d	+$0.16	$0.06 to $0.33	68%	52%
Up And Out	$52.80	42d	+$0.01	$-0.11 to $0.16	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$52.80	42d	+$0.01	$-0.11 to $0.16	69%	54%
Safety Up	$53.80	42d	-$0.42	$-0.57 to $-0.30	72%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $250,050 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.49 / mid $1.50 · $7,450 this cycle

3.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$6,386

Annualized

33%

EV / cycle

+$2,457

If assigned

-$250,050

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.94/share ($9,720 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $49.08.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.50	42d	+$0.14	$-0.03 to $0.07	68%	52%
Ss Escape	$47.80	42d	+$0.50	$0.34 to $0.45	65%	46%
Safety Up	$53.80	42d	-$1.47	$-2.00 to $-1.73	87%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-09 21:49 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.