IBIT @ $46.59

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-53.4%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $258,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

15 Oct 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.22 / mid $0.23 · $1,100 this cycle

3.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$6,600

Annualized

34%

EV / cycle

+$598

If assigned

-$258,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.56/share ($2,812 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $48.42.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.00	6d	+$0.09	$0.06 to $0.10	66%	51%
Ss Escape	$54.41	41d	+$0.02	$-0.24 to $0.04	87%	86%
Safety Up	$56.41	41d	-$0.19	$-0.48 to $-0.18	91%	91%
Reliable Up	$53.41	41d	+$0.17	$-0.05 to $0.20	85%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $49 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $254,550 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $49 CALL

15 Oct 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.09 / mid $0.10 · $450 this cycle

5.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$2,700

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$317

If assigned

-$254,550

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.59/share ($2,970 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $49.44.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$49.00	6d	+$0.10	$0.07 to $0.11	66%	51%
Ss Escape	$55.41	41d	+$0.06	$-0.11 to $0.16	87%	85%
Safety Up	$56.41	41d	-$0.05	$-0.23 to $0.04	89%	87%
Reliable Up	$54.41	41d	+$0.23	$0.09 to $0.34	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $260,450 (premium included).

Called-away odds31%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.41 / mid $0.42 · $2,050 this cycle

1.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

69%

Income / mo

$10,250

Annualized

54%

EV / cycle

+$843

If assigned

-$260,450

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.60/share ($3,002 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $47.94.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$47.50	9d	+$0.17	$0.11 to $0.17	67%	51%
Ss Escape	$52.91	41d	+$0.08	$-0.19 to $0.02	85%	83%
Safety Up	$55.91	41d	-$0.26	$-0.61 to $-0.35	92%	91%
Reliable Up	$51.41	34d	+$0.18	$-0.06 to $0.13	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $52 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $239,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $52 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.58 / mid $0.59 · $2,900 this cycle

10.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,559

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,458

If assigned

-$239,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.97/share ($9,850 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $52.07.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$51.50	41d	+$0.37	$0.33 to $0.48	68%	52%
Up And Out	$51.91	41d	+$0.16	$0.10 to $0.25	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$51.91	41d	+$0.16	$0.10 to $0.25	69%	55%
Safety Up	$52.91	41d	-$0.27	$-0.37 to $-0.21	73%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $52 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $239,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $52 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.58 / mid $0.59 · $2,900 this cycle

10.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,559

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,458

If assigned

-$239,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.97/share ($9,850 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $52.07.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$51.50	41d	+$0.37	$0.33 to $0.48	68%	52%
Up And Out	$51.91	41d	+$0.16	$0.10 to $0.25	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$51.91	41d	+$0.16	$0.10 to $0.25	69%	55%
Safety Up	$52.91	41d	-$0.27	$-0.37 to $-0.21	73%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $250,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $1.35 / mid $1.37 · $6,750 this cycle

4.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$5,956

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$2,489

If assigned

-$250,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.71/share ($8,558 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $49.04.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.50	41d	+$0.32	$0.26 to $0.31	68%	52%
Up And Out	$48.91	41d	+$0.11	$0.03 to $0.08	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$48.91	41d	+$0.11	$0.03 to $0.08	69%	55%
Safety Up	$53.91	41d	-$1.30	$-1.74 to $-1.49	88%	87%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-10 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.