IBIT @ $46.79

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-53.2%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $256,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

19 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.23 / mid $0.24 · $1,150 this cycle

3.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$5,750

Annualized

30%

EV / cycle

+$637

If assigned

-$256,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.66/share ($3,307 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $48.97.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.50	7d	+$0.07	$0.04 to $0.08	67%	51%
Ss Escape	$54.71	45d	+$0.08	$-0.18 to $0.12	86%	83%
Safety Up	$56.71	45d	-$0.18	$-0.47 to $-0.15	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$53.21	45d	+$0.37	$0.17 to $0.43	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $50 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $252,000 (premium included).

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $50 CALL

19 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.11 · $500 this cycle

5.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$2,500

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$346

If assigned

-$252,000

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.70/share ($3,484 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $49.93.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$49.50	7d	+$0.07	$0.05 to $0.10	67%	51%
Ss Escape	$55.71	45d	+$0.13	$-0.02 to $0.29	85%	82%
Safety Up	$56.71	45d	-$0.02	$-0.19 to $0.14	88%	86%
Reliable Up	$54.71	38d	+$0.15	$0.00 to $0.30	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $260,000 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

19 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.50 / mid $0.52 · $2,500 this cycle

1.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$12,500

Annualized

65%

EV / cycle

+$950

If assigned

-$260,000

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.63/share ($3,134 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $47.96.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$47.50	7d	+$0.06	$0.02 to $0.06	67%	51%
Ss Escape	$53.71	45d	+$0.02	$-0.31 to $-0.06	86%	84%
Safety Up	$55.71	45d	-$0.22	$-0.59 to $-0.32	92%	91%
Reliable Up	$52.21	45d	+$0.30	$0.02 to $0.23	82%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $52 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $239,550 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $52 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.59 / mid $0.59 · $2,950 this cycle

10.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,855

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$1,550

If assigned

-$239,550

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.91/share ($9,544 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $52.09.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$51.50	38d	+$0.40	$0.35 to $0.51	68%	52%
Up And Out	$51.71	38d	+$0.29	$0.24 to $0.38	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$52.71	45d	+$0.15	$0.04 to $0.27	72%	60%
Safety Up	$54.71	45d	-$0.57	$-0.76 to $-0.48	78%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $52 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $237,500 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $52 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.50 / mid $0.51 · $2,500 this cycle

11.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$2,419

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,361

If assigned

-$237,500

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.95/share ($9,760 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $52.55.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$52.00	38d	+$0.41	$0.37 to $0.53	68%	52%
Up And Out	$52.21	38d	+$0.30	$0.25 to $0.41	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$53.21	45d	+$0.16	$0.07 to $0.32	72%	60%
Safety Up	$54.71	45d	-$0.40	$-0.56 to $-0.27	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $250,650 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.37 / mid $1.39 · $6,850 this cycle

3.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$6,629

Annualized

34%

EV / cycle

+$2,323

If assigned

-$250,650

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.66/share ($8,298 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $49.06.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.50	38d	+$0.35	$0.28 to $0.33	68%	52%
Up And Out	$48.71	38d	+$0.24	$0.16 to $0.21	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$49.71	45d	+$0.06	$-0.10 to $-0.01	72%	61%
Safety Up	$55.71	45d	-$1.33	$-1.86 to $-1.58	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$49.21	45d	+$0.27	$0.12 to $0.21	70%	57%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-13 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.