IBIT @ $43.52

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-56.5%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $46 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $268,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $46 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.28 / mid $0.29 · $1,400 this cycle

5.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$6,000

Annualized

34%

EV / cycle

+$687

If assigned

-$268,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.91/share ($4,531 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $46.61.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$46.00	10d	+$0.19	$0.13 to $0.27	67%	51%
Ss Escape	$49.98	42d	+$0.12	$-0.12 to $0.25	80%	76%
Safety Up	$51.48	42d	-$0.22	$-0.51 to $-0.12	85%	83%
Reliable Up	$49.48	42d	+$0.26	$0.03 to $0.39	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $262,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

4 Nov 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.08 / mid $0.08 · $400 this cycle

9.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$2,400

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$308

If assigned

-$262,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.84/share ($4,194 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $48.09.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$47.50	6d	+$0.11	$0.15 to $0.22	67%	51%
Ss Escape	$52.98	42d	+$0.01	$-0.07 to $0.20	84%	81%
Reliable Up	$51.48	35d	+$0.20	$0.14 to $0.40	81%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $44 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $274,850 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $44 CALL

4 Nov 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.53 / mid $0.55 · $2,650 this cycle

2.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$15,900

Annualized

89%

EV / cycle

+$833

If assigned

-$274,850

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.73/share ($3,665 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 2 at spot $45.15.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$44.50	6d	+$0.08	$0.09 to $0.18	67%	51%
Ss Escape	$48.98	42d	+$0.04	$-0.30 to $-0.04	83%	79%
Safety Up	$51.98	42d	-$0.42	$-0.90 to $-0.54	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$47.98	42d	+$0.30	$0.01 to $0.23	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $257,350 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

30 Nov 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.53 / mid $0.55 · $2,650 this cycle

10.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,565

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$1,335

If assigned

-$257,350

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.82/share ($9,108 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $48.54.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.00	35d	+$0.21	$0.18 to $0.26	67%	52%
Ss Escape	$48.98	42d	+$0.04	$-0.08 to $0.12	71%	59%
Safety Up	$49.98	42d	-$0.36	$-0.52 to $-0.30	74%	66%
Reliable Up	$48.48	42d	+$0.26	$0.15 to $0.35	69%	56%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $254,800 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

4 Dec 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.54 / mid $0.55 · $2,700 this cycle

11.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$2,314

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,385

If assigned

-$254,800

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.02/share ($10,085 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $49.06.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.50	42d	+$0.27	$0.20 to $0.39	67%	52%
Up And Out	$48.98	42d	+$0.02	$-0.07 to $0.13	69%	56%
Ss Escape	$48.98	42d	+$0.02	$-0.07 to $0.13	69%	56%
Safety Up	$49.98	42d	-$0.38	$-0.51 to $-0.31	73%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $46 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $266,000 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $46 CALL

4 Dec 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $1.30 / mid $1.33 · $6,500 this cycle

4.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$5,571

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$2,206

If assigned

-$266,000

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.75/share ($8,729 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $46.04.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$45.50	42d	+$0.24	$0.13 to $0.21	67%	52%
Ss Escape	$45.48	42d	+$0.25	$0.15 to $0.22	67%	52%
Safety Up	$49.98	42d	-$1.26	$-1.67 to $-1.44	86%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-30 21:34 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.