IBIT @ $43.28

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-56.7%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $46 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $271,150 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $46 CALL

5 Nov 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.27 / mid $0.29 · $1,350 this cycle

5.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$6,750

Annualized

38%

EV / cycle

+$619

If assigned

-$271,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.87/share ($4,361 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $46.14.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$45.50	7d	+$0.10	$0.07 to $0.12	67%	51%
Ss Escape	$49.72	42d	+$0.05	$-0.21 to $0.15	81%	77%
Safety Up	$51.22	42d	-$0.26	$-0.60 to $-0.20	86%	84%
Reliable Up	$48.22	42d	+$0.52	$0.32 to $0.63	77%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $46 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $266,950 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $46 CALL

4 Nov 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.11 / mid $0.11 · $550 this cycle

7.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$3,300

Annualized

19%

EV / cycle

+$466

If assigned

-$266,950

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.84/share ($4,181 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $47.18.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$46.50	6d	+$0.12	$0.10 to $0.14	66%	51%
Up And Out	$46.72	6d	+$0.00	$-0.06 to $0.02	68%	55%
Ss Escape	$51.22	42d	+$0.08	$-0.11 to $0.24	82%	78%
Safety Up	$51.22	35d	-$0.07	$-0.28 to $0.07	84%	80%
Reliable Up	$50.22	35d	+$0.18	$0.02 to $0.35	80%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $44 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $276,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $44 CALL

4 Nov 2026 · 5 DTE · bid $0.65 / mid $0.66 · $3,250 this cycle

1.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$19,500

Annualized

110%

EV / cycle

+$1,021

If assigned

-$276,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.75/share ($3,733 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 2 at spot $44.66.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$44.00	6d	+$0.11	$0.07 to $0.10	66%	51%
Ss Escape	$48.22	42d	+$0.05	$-0.33 to $-0.06	82%	79%
Safety Up	$51.22	42d	-$0.43	$-0.96 to $-0.60	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$45.72	42d	+$0.87	$0.65 to $0.81	74%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $257,200 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

4 Dec 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.56 / mid $0.57 · $2,800 this cycle

10.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,400

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,415

If assigned

-$257,200

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.02/share ($10,081 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $48.59.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.00	42d	+$0.34	$0.29 to $0.42	68%	52%
Up And Out	$48.22	42d	+$0.22	$0.15 to $0.28	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$48.22	42d	+$0.22	$0.15 to $0.28	69%	54%
Safety Up	$49.72	42d	-$0.49	$-0.63 to $-0.47	74%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $257,600 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

30 Nov 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.48 / mid $0.49 · $2,400 this cycle

10.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$2,323

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,251

If assigned

-$257,600

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.89/share ($9,436 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $48.56.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.00	35d	+$0.23	$0.20 to $0.29	68%	52%
Up And Out	$48.22	35d	+$0.10	$0.06 to $0.15	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$48.72	42d	+$0.18	$0.09 to $0.29	70%	57%
Safety Up	$50.22	42d	-$0.48	$-0.64 to $-0.40	75%	67%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $45 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $268,650 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $45 CALL

30 Nov 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $1.27 / mid $1.29 · $6,350 this cycle

4.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$6,145

Annualized

35%

EV / cycle

+$2,098

If assigned

-$268,650

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.63/share ($8,167 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $45.54.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$45.00	35d	+$0.20	$0.15 to $0.19	68%	52%
Up And Out	$45.22	35d	+$0.07	$0.02 to $0.05	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$45.72	42d	+$0.11	$-0.03 to $0.06	71%	58%
Safety Up	$50.22	42d	-$1.25	$-1.75 to $-1.47	88%	87%
Reliable Up	$45.22	42d	+$0.36	$0.25 to $0.33	69%	54%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-31 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.