IBIT @ $44.02

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU6241782

Shares5,000

Avg cost$100.00

Drawdown-56.0%

IV regimeMEDIUM

Writable50

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $100.00 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $46 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $266,250 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $46 CALL

11 Nov 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.25 / mid $0.53 · $1,250 this cycle

5.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$4,167

Annualized

23%

EV / cycle

+$440

If assigned

-$266,250

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.97/share ($4,868 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $47.10.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$46.50	10d	+$0.01	$-0.05 to $0.03	65%	51%
Ss Escape	$49.48	39d	+$0.18	$-0.04 to $0.29	78%	72%
Safety Up	$50.48	39d	-$0.12	$-0.39 to $-0.02	81%	77%
Reliable Up	$48.48	39d	+$0.23	$-0.01 to $0.34	73%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $259,150 (premium included).

Called-away odds11%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.18 · $850 this cycle

9.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

89%

Income / mo

$2,318

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$510

If assigned

-$259,150

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.15/share ($5,751 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $48.60.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.00	14d	-$1.14	$-1.60 to $-0.92	51%	51%
Ss Escape	$50.98	39d	+$0.13	$-0.04 to $0.38	77%	71%
Safety Up	$50.98	32d	-$0.09	$-0.26 to $0.13	79%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $45 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $270,750 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $45 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 11 DTE · bid $0.85 / mid $0.86 · $4,250 this cycle

2.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$11,591

Annualized

64%

EV / cycle

+$1,542

If assigned

-$270,750

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.00/share ($4,976 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $45.53.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$45.00	14d	-$0.99	$-1.67 to $-1.25	51%	51%
Ss Escape	$46.98	32d	+$0.11	$-0.16 to $0.01	76%	68%
Safety Up	$50.98	32d	-$0.72	$-1.22 to $-0.92	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$46.48	32d	+$0.30	$0.07 to $0.22	74%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $254,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

4 Dec 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.52 / mid $0.54 · $2,600 this cycle

10.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$2,438

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,324

If assigned

-$254,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.89/share ($9,460 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $49.10.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.50	39d	-$0.56	$-0.86 to $-0.44	62%	52%
Ss Escape	$47.98	39d	+$0.60	$0.55 to $0.72	66%	48%
Safety Up	$49.48	39d	-$0.45	$-0.65 to $-0.37	69%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $48 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $254,900 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $48 CALL

4 Dec 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $0.52 / mid $0.54 · $2,600 this cycle

10.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$2,438

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,324

If assigned

-$254,900

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.89/share ($9,460 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $49.10.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$48.50	39d	-$0.56	$-0.86 to $-0.44	62%	52%
Ss Escape	$47.98	39d	+$0.60	$0.55 to $0.72	66%	48%
Safety Up	$49.48	39d	-$0.45	$-0.65 to $-0.37	69%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $46 is BELOW your $100.00 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $264,100 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 50 × $46 CALL

4 Dec 2026 · 32 DTE · bid $1.18 / mid $1.20 · $5,900 this cycle

4.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$5,531

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$2,123

If assigned

-$264,100

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.68/share ($8,378 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $46.53.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$46.00	39d	-$0.49	$-0.90 to $-0.64	62%	52%
Ss Escape	$45.48	39d	+$0.57	$0.48 to $0.56	66%	48%
Safety Up	$49.98	39d	-$1.17	$-1.57 to $-1.34	84%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-11-02 22:34 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.