MARA @ $12.15

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-17.6%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.

Income playbook

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $17 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.04 · $400 this cycle

39.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$1,333

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$325

If assigned

+$22,876

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.95/share ($9,530 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$17.00	16d	+$0.46	-	69%	54%
Up And Out	$17.84	16d	+$0.10	-	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$22.84	44d	+$0.05	-	85%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $5,424 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.21 / mid $0.22 · $2,100 this cycle

15.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$7,000

Annualized

70%

EV / cycle

+$1,101

If assigned

-$5,424

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.70/share ($7,011 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $14.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	16d	+$0.34	$0.29 to $0.44	68%	54%
Up And Out	$14.35	16d	+$0.18	$0.12 to $0.27	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$17.84	44d	+$0.09	$-0.06 to $0.19	84%	81%
Safety Up	$19.84	44d	-$0.20	$-0.42 to $-0.12	89%	88%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $13,124 (premium included).

Called-away odds33%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $13 CALL

17 Jul 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.44 / mid $0.45 · $4,400 this cycle

7.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

67%

Income / mo

$14,667

Annualized

147%

EV / cycle

+$1,683

If assigned

-$13,124

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.63/share ($6,252 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $13.38.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.00	16d	+$0.30	$0.22 to $0.31	68%	54%
Up And Out	$13.35	16d	+$0.15	$0.06 to $0.14	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$16.84	44d	+$0.00	$-0.22 to $-0.05	85%	83%
Safety Up	$18.84	44d	-$0.26	$-0.54 to $-0.33	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$15.85	44d	+$0.18	$-0.01 to $0.14	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $16 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.33 / mid $0.42 · $3,300 this cycle

27.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$3,300

Annualized

33%

EV / cycle

+$1,451

If assigned

+$10,776

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.51/share ($15,052 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $15.95.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.50	37d	+$0.10	$0.01 to $0.20	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$16.34	44d	+$0.10	$-0.01 to $0.21	74%	63%
Safety Up	$17.34	44d	-$0.24	$-0.39 to $-0.16	77%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $18 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.22 · $1,400 this cycle

48.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$1,400

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$942

If assigned

+$33,876

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.92/share ($19,191 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $18.54.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.00	37d	+$0.12	$0.10 to $0.39	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$18.84	44d	+$0.21	$0.19 to $0.53	73%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $4,824 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

7 Aug 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.77 / mid $0.86 · $7,700 this cycle

11.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$7,700

Annualized

77%

EV / cycle

+$2,408

If assigned

-$4,824

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.21/share ($12,082 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $13.89.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.50	37d	+$0.09	$-0.04 to $0.05	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$14.35	44d	+$0.02	$-0.13 to $-0.03	74%	64%
Safety Up	$17.34	44d	-$0.72	$-1.02 to $-0.84	86%	84%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-08 03:38 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.