MARA @ $10.62

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-28.0%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $25,924 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.17 · $1,600 this cycle

12.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$6,857

Annualized

79%

EV / cycle

+$766

If assigned

-$25,924

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.52/share ($5,229 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $12.35.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	14d	+$0.24	$0.19 to $0.31	68%	53%
Up And Out	$12.38	14d	+$0.13	$0.07 to $0.18	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$14.88	42d	+$0.23	$0.11 to $0.28	83%	79%
Safety Up	$16.38	35d	-$0.16	$-0.35 to $-0.13	88%	87%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $7,224 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.04 · $300 this cycle

31.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$1,286

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$220

If assigned

-$7,224

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.67/share ($6,659 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $14.49.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	14d	+$0.31	$0.32 to $0.50	68%	54%
Up And Out	$14.88	14d	+$0.03	$-0.04 to $0.18	75%	66%
Ss Escape	$17.38	35d	+$0.16	$0.06 to $0.38	82%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $29,924 (premium included).

Called-away odds28%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

24 Jul 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.26 / mid $0.28 · $2,600 this cycle

8.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

72%

Income / mo

$11,143

Annualized

128%

EV / cycle

+$998

If assigned

-$29,924

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.49/share ($4,896 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $11.84.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.50	14d	+$0.23	$0.15 to $0.25	68%	53%
Up And Out	$11.88	14d	+$0.11	$0.03 to $0.12	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$14.38	42d	+$0.17	$0.01 to $0.17	83%	80%
Safety Up	$16.88	35d	-$0.25	$-0.50 to $-0.29	92%	91%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $17 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.16 · $1,400 this cycle

60.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$1,200

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$869

If assigned

+$23,876

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.13/share ($21,272 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 24 at spot $17.50.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$17.00	42d	-$0.14	$-0.17 to $0.15	69%	56%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $3,724 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.38 / mid $0.40 · $3,800 this cycle

31.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$3,257

Annualized

37%

EV / cycle

+$1,709

If assigned

-$3,724

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.56/share ($15,587 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $14.42.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	42d	-$0.10	$-0.24 to $0.01	69%	56%
Safety Up	$14.38	42d	-$0.30	$-0.45 to $-0.20	70%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $19,524 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.80 / mid $0.81 · $8,000 this cycle

12.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$6,857

Annualized

79%

EV / cycle

+$2,532

If assigned

-$19,524

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.23/share ($12,255 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $12.37.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	42d	-$0.08	$-0.25 to $-0.13	68%	55%
Safety Up	$14.88	42d	-$0.77	$-1.02 to $-0.86	85%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-17 21:39 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.