MARA @ $11.95

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-19.0%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.

Income playbook

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $18 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.17 · $1,600 this cycle

50.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$1,548

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$1,044

If assigned

+$34,076

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.91/share ($19,142 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $18.56.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.00	38d	-$0.14	$-0.19 to $0.15	68%	56%
Ss Escape	$17.55	38d	+$0.05	$0.02 to $0.36	66%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $5,924 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.17 · $1,600 this cycle

17.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$4,800

Annualized

49%

EV / cycle

+$740

If assigned

-$5,924

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.75/share ($7,470 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $14.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	17d	+$0.34	$0.29 to $0.43	68%	54%
Up And Out	$14.55	17d	+$0.08	$-0.00 to $0.14	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$16.05	31d	+$0.10	$-0.02 to $0.19	79%	73%
Safety Up	$17.05	31d	-$0.14	$-0.30 to $-0.07	83%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $14,124 (premium included).

Called-away odds30%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $13 CALL

31 Jul 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.34 / mid $0.37 · $3,400 this cycle

8.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

70%

Income / mo

$10,200

Annualized

104%

EV / cycle

+$1,029

If assigned

-$14,124

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.67/share ($6,662 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $13.38.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.00	17d	+$0.30	$0.23 to $0.32	68%	54%
Up And Out	$13.55	17d	+$0.05	$-0.07 to $0.04	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$15.05	31d	+$0.03	$-0.15 to $0.01	80%	75%
Safety Up	$16.55	31d	-$0.29	$-0.55 to $-0.33	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$14.05	31d	+$0.35	$0.22 to $0.35	75%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $16 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.45 · $3,500 this cycle

29.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$3,387

Annualized

34%

EV / cycle

+$1,554

If assigned

+$10,976

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.51/share ($15,088 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $15.97.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.50	38d	-$0.11	$-0.25 to $-0.00	67%	55%
Ss Escape	$15.05	38d	+$0.08	$-0.05 to $0.21	65%	51%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $18 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.17 · $1,600 this cycle

50.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$1,548

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$1,044

If assigned

+$34,076

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.91/share ($19,142 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $18.56.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.00	38d	-$0.14	$-0.19 to $0.15	68%	56%
Ss Escape	$17.55	38d	+$0.05	$0.02 to $0.36	66%	53%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $5,024 (premium included).

Called-away odds33%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

21 Aug 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.75 / mid $0.80 · $7,500 this cycle

13.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

67%

Income / mo

$7,258

Annualized

74%

EV / cycle

+$2,164

If assigned

-$5,024

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.22/share ($12,168 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $13.90.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.50	38d	-$0.09	$-0.27 to $-0.13	67%	55%
Ss Escape	$13.05	38d	+$0.10	$-0.06 to $0.07	65%	50%
Safety Up	$15.55	38d	-$0.68	$-0.93 to $-0.77	79%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-07-21 21:45 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.