MARA @ $11.74

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-20.4%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.

Income playbook

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $16 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.06 · $400 this cycle

40.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$1,333

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$322

If assigned

+$17,876

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.01/share ($10,077 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $17.03.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$16.50	16d	+$0.46	$0.55 to $0.75	69%	54%
Up And Out	$17.26	16d	+$0.14	$0.15 to $0.40	73%	62%
Ss Escape	$21.76	44d	+$0.06	$0.06 to $0.42	85%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $5,424 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.21 / mid $0.22 · $2,100 this cycle

19.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$7,000

Annualized

73%

EV / cycle

+$1,211

If assigned

-$5,424

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.78/share ($7,841 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $14.46.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	16d	+$0.36	$0.34 to $0.49	69%	54%
Up And Out	$14.76	16d	+$0.04	$-0.04 to $0.13	74%	64%
Ss Escape	$17.26	44d	+$0.17	$0.05 to $0.31	82%	78%
Safety Up	$19.26	44d	-$0.18	$-0.37 to $-0.07	88%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $17,224 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.53 / mid $0.55 · $5,300 this cycle

6.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$17,667

Annualized

183%

EV / cycle

+$1,821

If assigned

-$17,224

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.66/share ($6,621 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $12.93.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	16d	+$0.30	$0.21 to $0.28	69%	54%
Up And Out	$12.76	16d	+$0.18	$0.08 to $0.16	70%	58%
Ss Escape	$15.76	44d	+$0.02	$-0.22 to $-0.06	84%	81%
Safety Up	$18.76	44d	-$0.36	$-0.71 to $-0.48	92%	91%
Reliable Up	$14.76	44d	+$0.24	$0.04 to $0.18	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $15 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.40 / mid $0.44 · $4,000 this cycle

27.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$4,000

Annualized

41%

EV / cycle

+$1,789

If assigned

+$6,476

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.53/share ($15,339 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $15.46.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.00	37d	+$0.05	$-0.05 to $0.16	70%	55%
Ss Escape	$15.26	44d	+$0.25	$0.14 to $0.41	71%	58%
Safety Up	$16.26	44d	-$0.14	$-0.29 to $-0.04	75%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $18 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.15 · $1,300 this cycle

53.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$1,300

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$760

If assigned

+$33,776

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $2.05/share ($20,502 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $18.60.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.00	37d	+$0.07	$0.08 to $0.42	70%	56%
Up And Out	$18.26	37d	+$0.01	$0.01 to $0.33	71%	58%
Ss Escape	$18.26	37d	+$0.01	$0.01 to $0.33	71%	58%
Safety Up	$19.26	44d	-$0.03	$-0.05 to $0.35	74%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $9,324 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $13 CALL

4 Sep 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.82 / mid $0.90 · $8,200 this cycle

10.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$8,200

Annualized

85%

EV / cycle

+$2,333

If assigned

-$9,324

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.23/share ($12,284 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $13.39.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.00	37d	+$0.04	$-0.10 to $-0.01	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$13.26	44d	+$0.18	$0.03 to $0.13	71%	58%
Safety Up	$16.26	44d	-$0.68	$-0.96 to $-0.81	85%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-05 03:32 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.