MARA @ $11.46

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-22.3%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.

Income playbook

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $16 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.05 · $400 this cycle

35.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$1,500

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$312

If assigned

+$7,876

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.90/share ($8,969 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $16.00.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.50	15d	+$0.37	$0.43 to $0.63	69%	54%
Up And Out	$16.04	15d	+$0.14	$0.17 to $0.38	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$20.04	43d	+$0.02	$0.04 to $0.35	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $10,724 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.20 · $1,800 this cycle

17.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$6,750

Annualized

72%

EV / cycle

+$1,065

If assigned

-$10,724

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.73/share ($7,250 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $13.92.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.50	15d	+$0.30	$0.24 to $0.41	69%	54%
Up And Out	$14.04	15d	+$0.07	$-0.02 to $0.15	73%	62%
Ss Escape	$17.04	43d	+$0.01	$-0.15 to $0.12	84%	80%
Safety Up	$18.04	43d	-$0.15	$-0.35 to $-0.06	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$16.04	43d	+$0.24	$0.11 to $0.37	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $19,024 (premium included).

Called-away odds29%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.38 · $3,500 this cycle

9.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

71%

Income / mo

$13,125

Annualized

139%

EV / cycle

+$1,383

If assigned

-$19,024

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.65/share ($6,453 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $12.91.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	15d	+$0.26	$0.17 to $0.27	69%	54%
Up And Out	$13.04	15d	+$0.03	$-0.10 to $0.01	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$15.04	43d	+$0.14	$-0.07 to $0.11	81%	77%
Safety Up	$18.04	43d	-$0.32	$-0.63 to $-0.40	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$14.04	43d	+$0.39	$0.21 to $0.38	77%	70%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $15 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.40 · $3,500 this cycle

30.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,917

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$1,302

If assigned

+$5,976

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.57/share ($15,663 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $15.43.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.00	43d	+$0.12	$0.04 to $0.21	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$14.54	43d	+$0.30	$0.23 to $0.41	68%	51%
Safety Up	$15.54	43d	-$0.10	$-0.19 to $-0.04	72%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $18 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.21 · $1,900 this cycle

57.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$1,326

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$1,156

If assigned

+$34,376

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $8,424 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $13 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.91 / mid $0.95 · $9,100 this cycle

13.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$6,349

Annualized

67%

EV / cycle

+$2,878

If assigned

-$8,424

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-06 03:32 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.