MARA @ $10.96

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-25.7%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.

Income playbook

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $15 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.04 · $400 this cycle

36.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$1,500

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$296

If assigned

+$2,876

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.86/share ($8,599 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.00	15d	+$0.29	-	68%	54%
Up And Out	$16.05	15d	+$0.00	-	76%	67%
Ss Escape	$19.05	43d	+$0.15	-	83%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $20,324 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.22 / mid $0.23 · $2,200 this cycle

14.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$8,250

Annualized

92%

EV / cycle

+$1,383

If assigned

-$20,324

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.65/share ($6,454 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $12.87.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	15d	+$0.22	$0.13 to $0.26	68%	54%
Up And Out	$13.04	15d	+$0.00	$-0.12 to $0.03	72%	63%
Ss Escape	$15.54	43d	+$0.04	$-0.13 to $0.08	83%	80%
Safety Up	$16.55	43d	-$0.10	$-0.29 to $-0.06	87%	84%
Reliable Up	$14.54	43d	+$0.29	$0.16 to $0.35	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $27,524 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.50 / mid $0.51 · $5,000 this cycle

5.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$18,750

Annualized

208%

EV / cycle

+$1,625

If assigned

-$27,524

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.57/share ($5,676 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $11.84.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.50	15d	+$0.19	$0.07 to $0.15	68%	53%
Up And Out	$11.54	15d	+$0.17	$0.04 to $0.13	68%	54%
Ss Escape	$13.54	43d	+$0.18	$-0.02 to $0.12	80%	75%
Safety Up	$15.54	29d	-$0.32	$-0.63 to $-0.43	90%	89%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $15 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.38 / mid $0.40 · $3,800 this cycle

36.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$2,651

Annualized

29%

EV / cycle

+$2,009

If assigned

+$6,276

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $17 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.22 · $2,000 this cycle

55.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$1,395

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$1,250

If assigned

+$24,476

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $21,024 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.65 / mid $0.94 · $6,500 this cycle

9.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$5,417

Annualized

60%

EV / cycle

+$133

If assigned

-$21,024

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.14/share ($11,356 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $12.35.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	43d	+$0.11	$0.03 to $0.08	70%	55%
Up And Out	$12.04	43d	+$0.09	$0.01 to $0.06	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$12.04	43d	+$0.09	$0.01 to $0.06	70%	56%
Safety Up	$14.04	43d	-$0.58	$-0.77 to $-0.67	82%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-06 21:38 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.