MARA @ $10.88

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-26.2%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.

Income playbook

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $15 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.04 · $300 this cycle

37.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$1,286

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$259

If assigned

+$2,776

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.81/share ($8,056 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.00	14d	+$0.42	-	69%	54%
Up And Out	$16.12	14d	+$0.00	-	76%	68%
Ss Escape	$19.12	42d	+$0.14	-	84%	80%
Safety Up	$20.12	42d	-$0.01	-	86%	84%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $20,524 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.21 · $2,000 this cycle

14.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$8,571

Annualized

96%

EV / cycle

+$1,148

If assigned

-$20,524

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.61/share ($6,084 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $12.90.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	14d	+$0.31	$0.27 to $0.39	69%	53%
Up And Out	$13.12	14d	+$0.06	$-0.02 to $0.12	74%	64%
Ss Escape	$15.62	42d	+$0.09	$-0.05 to $0.17	84%	80%
Safety Up	$16.62	42d	-$0.10	$-0.27 to $-0.03	87%	85%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $28,224 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

14 Aug 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.44 · $4,300 this cycle

5.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$18,429

Annualized

206%

EV / cycle

+$1,621

If assigned

-$28,224

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.54/share ($5,366 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $11.88.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$11.50	14d	+$0.27	$0.19 to $0.27	69%	53%
Up And Out	$12.12	14d	+$0.02	$-0.10 to $-0.01	75%	65%
Ss Escape	$13.62	35d	+$0.04	$-0.18 to $-0.02	81%	76%
Safety Up	$16.62	42d	-$0.26	$-0.56 to $-0.35	91%	91%
Reliable Up	$13.62	42d	+$0.21	$0.03 to $0.17	81%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $17 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.20 · $1,900 this cycle

56.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$1,357

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$1,216

If assigned

+$24,376

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $776 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.33 / mid $0.43 · $3,300 this cycle

33.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$2,829

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$1,408

If assigned

+$776

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.45/share ($14,474 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $14.94.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.50	42d	+$0.23	$0.20 to $0.33	70%	56%
Up And Out	$14.62	42d	+$0.17	$0.14 to $0.26	71%	57%
Ss Escape	$14.62	42d	+$0.17	$0.14 to $0.26	71%	57%
Safety Up	$15.62	42d	-$0.21	$-0.28 to $-0.17	75%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $19,024 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.85 / mid $0.91 · $8,500 this cycle

10.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$7,286

Annualized

81%

EV / cycle

+$2,493

If assigned

-$19,024

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.07/share ($10,728 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $12.35.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	42d	+$0.17	$0.12 to $0.16	70%	55%
Up And Out	$12.12	42d	+$0.11	$0.06 to $0.10	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$12.12	42d	+$0.11	$0.06 to $0.10	70%	56%
Safety Up	$16.12	42d	-$0.85	$-1.15 to $-0.98	91%	90%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-08-07 03:32 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.