MARA @ $11.62

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-21.2%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.

Income playbook

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $15 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.04 · $300 this cycle

29.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$1,286

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$256

If assigned

+$2,776

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.60/share ($5,997 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.00	14d	+$0.42	-	69%	53%
Up And Out	$15.88	14d	+$0.09	-	76%	67%
Ss Escape	$20.38	42d	+$0.04	-	88%	86%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $16,124 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $13 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.15 · $1,400 this cycle

11.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$6,000

Annualized

63%

EV / cycle

+$820

If assigned

-$16,124

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.47/share ($4,719 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $13.31.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.00	14d	+$0.34	$0.32 to $0.41	69%	53%
Up And Out	$13.88	14d	+$0.00	$-0.07 to $0.05	77%	70%
Ss Escape	$16.38	42d	+$0.11	$-0.01 to $0.18	85%	82%
Safety Up	$18.38	42d	-$0.12	$-0.27 to $-0.06	91%	90%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $20,224 (premium included).

Called-away odds25%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.23 / mid $0.24 · $2,300 this cycle

7.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

75%

Income / mo

$9,857

Annualized

103%

EV / cycle

+$1,073

If assigned

-$20,224

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.44/share ($4,422 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $12.81.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	14d	+$0.32	$0.28 to $0.35	69%	53%
Up And Out	$12.88	14d	+$0.16	$0.09 to $0.17	73%	61%
Ss Escape	$15.88	42d	+$0.06	$-0.10 to $0.06	86%	83%
Safety Up	$17.88	42d	-$0.15	$-0.35 to $-0.17	91%	91%
Reliable Up	$14.88	42d	+$0.23	$0.10 to $0.24	82%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $15 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.43 / mid $0.43 · $4,300 this cycle

29.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$3,071

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$2,091

If assigned

+$6,776

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $18 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.18 · $1,800 this cycle

54.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$1,286

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,171

If assigned

+$34,276

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $9,024 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $13 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 42 DTE · bid $0.85 / mid $0.85 · $8,500 this cycle

11.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$6,071

Annualized

64%

EV / cycle

+$2,863

If assigned

-$9,024

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-04 03:17 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.