MARA @ $11.35

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-23.1%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $21,224 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.14 · $1,300 this cycle

10.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$6,500

Annualized

70%

EV / cycle

+$775

If assigned

-$21,224

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.40/share ($3,967 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $12.77.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	13d	+$0.32	$0.29 to $0.39	68%	53%
Up And Out	$13.15	13d	+$0.06	$-0.01 to $0.09	75%	67%
Ss Escape	$16.15	41d	+$0.04	$-0.08 to $0.09	87%	85%
Safety Up	$17.15	41d	-$0.07	$-0.21 to $-0.03	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$15.15	41d	+$0.20	$0.10 to $0.25	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $7,224 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.04 · $300 this cycle

23.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$1,500

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$245

If assigned

-$7,224

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.48/share ($4,819 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	13d	+$0.38	-	68%	53%
Up And Out	$14.65	13d	+$0.12	-	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$18.65	41d	+$0.05	-	87%	85%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $25,324 (premium included).

Called-away odds28%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

11 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.22 / mid $0.23 · $2,200 this cycle

5.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

72%

Income / mo

$11,000

Annualized

118%

EV / cycle

+$972

If assigned

-$25,324

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.37/share ($3,701 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $12.25.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	13d	+$0.30	$0.25 to $0.32	68%	53%
Up And Out	$12.65	13d	+$0.04	$-0.04 to $0.04	76%	68%
Ss Escape	$15.65	41d	+$0.00	$-0.16 to $-0.01	88%	86%
Safety Up	$16.65	41d	-$0.09	$-0.28 to $-0.12	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$14.65	41d	+$0.15	$0.02 to $0.15	84%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $15 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $0.33 / mid $0.34 · $3,300 this cycle

32.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$2,415

Annualized

26%

EV / cycle

+$1,684

If assigned

+$5,776

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $17 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.18 · $1,800 this cycle

49.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$1,317

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$1,144

If assigned

+$24,276

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $15,524 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.70 / mid $0.73 · $7,000 this cycle

10.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$6,176

Annualized

66%

EV / cycle

+$2,156

If assigned

-$15,524

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.00/share ($9,951 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $12.81.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	41d	+$0.14	$0.08 to $0.13	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$12.15	41d	+$0.29	$0.23 to $0.29	67%	49%
Safety Up	$15.15	41d	-$0.64	$-0.85 to $-0.73	86%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-05 03:17 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.