MARA @ $11.79

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-20.1%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.

Income playbook

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $16 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.05 · $400 this cycle

35.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$1,333

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$317

If assigned

+$12,876

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.86/share ($8,553 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $16.44.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$16.00	16d	+$0.39	$0.45 to $0.63	69%	54%
Up And Out	$16.71	16d	+$0.11	$0.14 to $0.34	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$20.21	37d	+$0.02	$0.03 to $0.35	84%	81%
Reliable Up	$21.21	44d	-$0.08	$-0.07 to $0.27	85%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $10,324 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.22 / mid $0.23 · $2,200 this cycle

14.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$7,333

Annualized

76%

EV / cycle

+$1,226

If assigned

-$10,324

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.65/share ($6,512 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $13.86.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.50	16d	+$0.29	$0.25 to $0.38	68%	53%
Up And Out	$14.21	16d	+$0.01	$-0.07 to $0.05	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$17.21	44d	+$0.01	$-0.14 to $0.07	85%	82%
Safety Up	$17.71	37d	-$0.17	$-0.35 to $-0.13	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$16.71	44d	+$0.10	$-0.03 to $0.17	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $18,124 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.44 / mid $0.45 · $4,400 this cycle

6.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$14,667

Annualized

151%

EV / cycle

+$1,657

If assigned

-$18,124

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.58/share ($5,769 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $12.86.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	16d	+$0.26	$0.18 to $0.26	68%	53%
Up And Out	$12.71	16d	+$0.16	$0.07 to $0.14	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$15.71	44d	+$0.01	$-0.20 to $-0.05	84%	81%
Safety Up	$17.71	44d	-$0.28	$-0.57 to $-0.37	90%	90%
Reliable Up	$14.71	44d	+$0.17	$-0.03 to $0.12	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $15 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.33 / mid $0.37 · $3,300 this cycle

27.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$3,300

Annualized

34%

EV / cycle

+$1,508

If assigned

+$5,776

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.39/share ($13,884 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $15.40.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.00	37d	+$0.14	$0.08 to $0.24	70%	55%
Up And Out	$15.21	37d	+$0.04	$-0.03 to $0.13	71%	57%
Ss Escape	$15.71	44d	+$0.05	$-0.05 to $0.18	73%	62%
Safety Up	$16.71	44d	-$0.32	$-0.46 to $-0.21	77%	70%
Reliable Up	$15.21	44d	+$0.24	$0.14 to $0.38	71%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $18 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.14 · $1,300 this cycle

52.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$1,300

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$925

If assigned

+$33,776

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.88/share ($18,752 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $18.45.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.00	37d	+$0.19	$0.19 to $0.49	70%	56%
Up And Out	$18.21	37d	+$0.09	$0.08 to $0.37	71%	57%
Ss Escape	$18.71	44d	+$0.17	$0.16 to $0.54	73%	61%
Safety Up	$19.21	44d	-$0.06	$-0.08 to $0.29	74%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $9,924 (premium included).

Called-away odds35%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $13 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.76 / mid $0.79 · $7,600 this cycle

10.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

65%

Income / mo

$7,600

Annualized

78%

EV / cycle

+$2,470

If assigned

-$9,924

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.10/share ($11,025 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $13.35.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.00	37d	+$0.11	$0.02 to $0.09	69%	55%
Up And Out	$13.21	37d	+$0.01	$-0.09 to $-0.02	71%	57%
Ss Escape	$13.21	37d	+$0.01	$-0.09 to $-0.02	71%	57%
Safety Up	$16.71	44d	-$0.71	$-1.00 to $-0.82	87%	86%
Reliable Up	$13.21	44d	+$0.17	$0.03 to $0.13	71%	58%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-09 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.