MARA @ $11.97

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-18.9%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.

Income playbook

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $16 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.06 / mid $0.07 · $600 this cycle

29.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$2,000

Annualized

20%

EV / cycle

+$555

If assigned

+$8,076

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.80/share ($8,016 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $15.96.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.50	16d	+$0.31	$0.35 to $0.53	68%	54%
Up And Out	$16.03	16d	+$0.08	$0.08 to $0.27	71%	61%
Ss Escape	$19.53	37d	+$0.06	$0.06 to $0.31	86%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $5,924 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.17 · $1,600 this cycle

17.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$5,333

Annualized

54%

EV / cycle

+$839

If assigned

-$5,924

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.68/share ($6,819 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $14.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	16d	+$0.26	$0.22 to $0.37	68%	54%
Up And Out	$14.53	16d	+$0.04	$-0.04 to $0.12	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$17.53	44d	+$0.00	$-0.15 to $0.11	83%	80%
Safety Up	$18.03	37d	-$0.09	$-0.23 to $0.01	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$16.53	44d	+$0.15	$0.01 to $0.27	79%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $14,024 (premium included).

Called-away odds29%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $13 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.36 · $3,500 this cycle

8.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

71%

Income / mo

$11,667

Annualized

119%

EV / cycle

+$1,373

If assigned

-$14,024

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.61/share ($6,071 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $13.37.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.00	16d	+$0.23	$0.15 to $0.25	67%	53%
Up And Out	$13.53	16d	+$0.01	$-0.10 to $0.01	72%	63%
Ss Escape	$15.53	44d	+$0.07	$-0.13 to $0.06	81%	77%
Safety Up	$18.03	37d	-$0.32	$-0.57 to $-0.35	92%	91%
Reliable Up	$15.03	44d	+$0.18	$0.00 to $0.19	78%	73%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $15 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.31 / mid $0.37 · $3,100 this cycle

25.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$3,100

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$1,022

If assigned

+$5,576

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.33/share ($13,254 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 16 at spot $15.40.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.00	37d	+$0.18	$0.12 to $0.26	70%	55%
Up And Out	$15.03	37d	+$0.16	$0.10 to $0.25	70%	55%
Ss Escape	$15.53	44d	+$0.04	$-0.08 to $0.15	71%	60%
Safety Up	$16.53	44d	-$0.30	$-0.46 to $-0.22	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Called-away odds5%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $18 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.15 · $1,300 this cycle

50.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

95%

Income / mo

$1,300

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,079

If assigned

+$33,776

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.79/share ($17,895 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $18.44.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.00	37d	+$0.24	$0.28 to $0.50	70%	55%
Up And Out	$18.03	37d	+$0.22	$0.26 to $0.49	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$18.53	44d	+$0.12	$0.16 to $0.48	71%	60%
Safety Up	$19.03	44d	-$0.06	$-0.05 to $0.28	73%	63%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $10,124 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $13 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.74 / mid $0.82 · $7,400 this cycle

8.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$7,400

Annualized

75%

EV / cycle

+$1,645

If assigned

-$10,124

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.05/share ($10,527 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $13.35.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.00	37d	+$0.14	$0.06 to $0.11	69%	54%
Up And Out	$13.03	37d	+$0.12	$0.04 to $0.09	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$13.03	37d	+$0.12	$0.04 to $0.09	69%	55%
Safety Up	$16.03	37d	-$0.70	$-0.92 to $-0.80	87%	85%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-09 21:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.