MARA @ $11.81

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-19.9%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.

Income playbook

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $16 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.05 · $400 this cycle

31.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$1,500

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$315

If assigned

+$7,876

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.77/share ($7,679 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $15.88.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.50	15d	+$0.38	$0.46 to $0.62	69%	54%
Up And Out	$16.19	15d	+$0.08	$0.12 to $0.29	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$20.69	43d	+$0.01	$0.06 to $0.31	87%	85%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $10,624 (premium included).

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.20 · $1,900 this cycle

14.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$7,125

Annualized

73%

EV / cycle

+$1,117

If assigned

-$10,624

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.62/share ($6,155 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $13.88.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.50	15d	+$0.30	$0.26 to $0.38	69%	53%
Up And Out	$14.19	15d	+$0.01	$-0.08 to $0.05	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$17.19	43d	+$0.01	$-0.14 to $0.06	86%	83%
Safety Up	$18.69	43d	-$0.18	$-0.36 to $-0.14	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$16.69	43d	+$0.12	$-0.01 to $0.18	84%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $18,524 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.40 / mid $0.41 · $4,000 this cycle

5.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$15,000

Annualized

155%

EV / cycle

+$1,495

If assigned

-$18,524

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.55/share ($5,452 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $12.85.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	15d	+$0.26	$0.19 to $0.26	68%	53%
Up And Out	$12.69	15d	+$0.18	$0.10 to $0.17	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$15.69	43d	+$0.02	$-0.18 to $-0.04	85%	82%
Safety Up	$17.69	43d	-$0.24	$-0.51 to $-0.33	92%	91%
Reliable Up	$14.69	43d	+$0.22	$0.04 to $0.17	81%	76%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $15 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.44 / mid $0.45 · $4,400 this cycle

27.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$3,667

Annualized

38%

EV / cycle

+$2,459

If assigned

+$6,876

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.40/share ($14,001 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $15.41.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.00	43d	+$0.14	$0.09 to $0.23	69%	55%
Up And Out	$15.19	43d	+$0.07	$0.01 to $0.14	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$15.19	43d	+$0.07	$0.01 to $0.14	70%	57%
Safety Up	$16.69	43d	-$0.42	$-0.52 to $-0.39	78%	71%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $18 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.18 · $1,700 this cycle

52.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$1,417

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$1,396

If assigned

+$34,176

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.89/share ($18,923 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 26 at spot $18.48.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.00	43d	+$0.19	$0.21 to $0.46	70%	56%
Up And Out	$18.19	43d	+$0.12	$0.13 to $0.37	71%	57%
Ss Escape	$18.19	43d	+$0.12	$0.13 to $0.37	71%	57%
Safety Up	$18.69	43d	-$0.10	$-0.12 to $0.15	72%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $8,724 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $13 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.88 / mid $0.89 · $8,800 this cycle

10.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$7,333

Annualized

76%

EV / cycle

+$2,906

If assigned

-$8,724

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.11/share ($11,111 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $13.35.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.00	43d	+$0.11	$0.04 to $0.09	69%	55%
Up And Out	$13.19	43d	+$0.03	$-0.04 to $0.01	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$13.19	43d	+$0.03	$-0.04 to $0.01	70%	57%
Safety Up	$17.19	43d	-$0.87	$-1.13 to $-0.99	91%	90%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-10 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.