MARA @ $11.24

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-23.8%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.

Income playbook

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $15 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.04 · $300 this cycle

33.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$1,125

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$213

If assigned

+$2,776

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.69/share ($6,873 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.00	15d	+$0.38	-	68%	54%
Up And Out	$15.76	15d	+$0.07	-	73%	64%
Ss Escape	$19.76	43d	+$0.07	-	86%	83%
Safety Up	$19.76	36d	-$0.01	-	88%	85%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $16,224 (premium included).

Called-away odds15%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $13 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.15 · $1,300 this cycle

15.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

85%

Income / mo

$4,875

Annualized

53%

EV / cycle

+$717

If assigned

-$16,224

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.54/share ($5,440 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $13.34.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.00	15d	+$0.30	$0.27 to $0.38	68%	53%
Up And Out	$13.76	15d	+$0.00	$-0.07 to $0.07	75%	67%
Ss Escape	$16.76	43d	+$0.03	$-0.09 to $0.13	86%	83%
Safety Up	$17.76	43d	-$0.11	$-0.25 to $-0.01	89%	87%
Reliable Up	$16.26	43d	+$0.12	$0.01 to $0.22	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $24,324 (premium included).

Called-away odds31%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.32 / mid $0.33 · $3,200 this cycle

6.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

69%

Income / mo

$12,000

Annualized

130%

EV / cycle

+$1,235

If assigned

-$24,324

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.48/share ($4,783 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $12.32.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	15d	+$0.26	$0.20 to $0.28	68%	53%
Up And Out	$12.26	15d	+$0.15	$0.08 to $0.15	70%	59%
Ss Escape	$15.26	43d	+$0.03	$-0.15 to $-0.00	85%	83%
Safety Up	$16.76	43d	-$0.17	$-0.39 to $-0.22	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$14.26	43d	+$0.18	$0.03 to $0.17	81%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds17%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $15 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.38 / mid $0.42 · $3,800 this cycle

33.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

83%

Income / mo

$2,651

Annualized

29%

EV / cycle

+$1,935

If assigned

+$6,276

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $17 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.18 · $1,700 this cycle

51.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$1,417

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$1,337

If assigned

+$24,176

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.75/share ($17,500 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 25 at spot $17.45.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$17.00	43d	+$0.23	$0.24 to $0.45	70%	56%
Up And Out	$17.26	43d	+$0.12	$0.12 to $0.31	71%	58%
Ss Escape	$17.26	43d	+$0.12	$0.12 to $0.31	71%	58%
Safety Up	$17.76	43d	-$0.10	$-0.12 to $0.07	72%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $13,924 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 43 DTE · bid $0.86 / mid $0.92 · $8,600 this cycle

11.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$6,000

Annualized

65%

EV / cycle

+$2,403

If assigned

-$13,924

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-10 21:54 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.