MARA @ $11.61

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-21.3%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.

Income playbook

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $15 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.04 · $300 this cycle

29.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$1,286

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$242

If assigned

+$2,776

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.67/share ($6,715 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.00	14d	+$0.39	-	69%	53%
Up And Out	$15.89	14d	+$0.04	-	76%	67%
Ss Escape	$19.39	42d	+$0.06	-	85%	82%
Safety Up	$19.39	35d	-$0.03	-	86%	84%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $15,624 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $13 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.20 · $1,900 this cycle

12.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$8,143

Annualized

85%

EV / cycle

+$1,097

If assigned

-$15,624

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.53/share ($5,323 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $13.32.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.00	14d	+$0.31	$0.27 to $0.38	69%	53%
Up And Out	$13.39	14d	+$0.14	$0.08 to $0.20	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$16.39	42d	+$0.00	$-0.15 to $0.07	84%	82%
Safety Up	$17.39	35d	-$0.17	$-0.34 to $-0.11	89%	88%
Reliable Up	$15.89	42d	+$0.10	$-0.04 to $0.17	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $19,724 (premium included).

Called-away odds27%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.28 / mid $0.29 · $2,800 this cycle

7.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

73%

Income / mo

$12,000

Annualized

126%

EV / cycle

+$1,239

If assigned

-$19,724

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.50/share ($4,999 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $12.84.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	14d	+$0.29	$0.23 to $0.33	69%	53%
Up And Out	$12.89	14d	+$0.12	$0.03 to $0.13	73%	61%
Ss Escape	$15.39	42d	+$0.06	$-0.13 to $0.05	83%	80%
Safety Up	$17.89	42d	-$0.22	$-0.47 to $-0.25	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$14.89	42d	+$0.15	$-0.02 to $0.16	81%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $15 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.36 · $3,500 this cycle

29.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$3,000

Annualized

31%

EV / cycle

+$1,747

If assigned

+$5,976

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.40/share ($13,994 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $15.40.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.00	42d	+$0.13	$0.08 to $0.23	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$14.89	42d	+$0.18	$0.13 to $0.28	69%	54%
Safety Up	$15.89	42d	-$0.24	$-0.32 to $-0.18	74%	64%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $18 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.15 · $1,400 this cycle

55.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$1,200

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$965

If assigned

+$33,876

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.90/share ($18,955 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 24 at spot $18.48.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.00	42d	+$0.18	$0.19 to $0.44	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$17.89	42d	+$0.22	$0.24 to $0.49	70%	55%
Safety Up	$18.39	42d	-$0.00	$-0.01 to $0.24	71%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $10,124 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $13 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.74 / mid $0.76 · $7,400 this cycle

12.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$6,343

Annualized

66%

EV / cycle

+$2,488

If assigned

-$10,124

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.11/share ($11,086 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $13.34.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.00	42d	+$0.10	$0.02 to $0.09	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$12.89	42d	+$0.15	$0.08 to $0.14	68%	53%
Safety Up	$15.89	42d	-$0.73	$-0.97 to $-0.83	85%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-11 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.