MARA @ $11.85

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-19.7%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.

Income playbook

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $15 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.04 · $300 this cycle

26.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$1,500

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$248

If assigned

+$2,776

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.61/share ($6,099 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.00	13d	+$0.39	-	69%	53%
Up And Out	$15.65	13d	+$0.12	-	74%	64%
Ss Escape	$20.15	41d	+$0.01	-	87%	85%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $15,824 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $13 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.18 · $1,700 this cycle

9.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$8,500

Annualized

87%

EV / cycle

+$989

If assigned

-$15,824

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.48/share ($4,803 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $13.31.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.00	13d	+$0.31	$0.26 to $0.35	68%	53%
Up And Out	$13.65	13d	+$0.04	$-0.05 to $0.07	75%	66%
Ss Escape	$16.65	41d	+$0.04	$-0.12 to $0.07	86%	83%
Safety Up	$18.15	41d	-$0.13	$-0.32 to $-0.12	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$16.15	41d	+$0.12	$-0.02 to $0.16	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $19,624 (premium included).

Called-away odds30%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

18 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.29 / mid $0.30 · $2,900 this cycle

5.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

70%

Income / mo

$14,500

Annualized

149%

EV / cycle

+$1,359

If assigned

-$19,624

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.45/share ($4,502 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $12.80.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	13d	+$0.29	$0.21 to $0.30	68%	53%
Up And Out	$13.15	13d	+$0.03	$-0.09 to $0.01	75%	67%
Ss Escape	$16.15	41d	+$0.00	$-0.21 to $-0.03	86%	84%
Safety Up	$17.65	41d	-$0.16	$-0.40 to $-0.20	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$15.15	41d	+$0.15	$-0.03 to $0.13	83%	79%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $15 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.38 / mid $0.39 · $3,800 this cycle

26.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$3,353

Annualized

34%

EV / cycle

+$1,919

If assigned

+$6,276

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.34/share ($13,424 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $15.38.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.00	41d	+$0.15	$0.10 to $0.23	69%	55%
Up And Out	$15.15	41d	+$0.08	$0.02 to $0.15	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$15.15	41d	+$0.08	$0.02 to $0.15	70%	57%
Safety Up	$16.15	41d	-$0.28	$-0.38 to $-0.25	75%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $18 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.14 / mid $0.15 · $1,400 this cycle

51.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$1,235

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$940

If assigned

+$33,876

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.82/share ($18,220 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 25 at spot $18.44.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.00	41d	+$0.20	$0.23 to $0.50	70%	56%
Up And Out	$18.15	41d	+$0.13	$0.15 to $0.41	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$18.15	41d	+$0.13	$0.15 to $0.41	70%	57%
Safety Up	$18.65	41d	-$0.07	$-0.07 to $0.18	72%	61%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $9,224 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $13 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.83 / mid $0.84 · $8,300 this cycle

9.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$7,324

Annualized

75%

EV / cycle

+$2,922

If assigned

-$9,224

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.06/share ($10,617 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $13.34.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.00	41d	+$0.12	$0.04 to $0.10	69%	55%
Up And Out	$13.15	41d	+$0.05	$-0.03 to $0.02	70%	57%
Ss Escape	$13.15	41d	+$0.05	$-0.03 to $0.02	70%	57%
Safety Up	$17.15	41d	-$0.83	$-1.12 to $-0.96	90%	90%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-12 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.