MARA @ $11.53

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-21.8%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.

Income playbook

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $16 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.05 · $400 this cycle

38.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$1,200

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$318

If assigned

+$12,876

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.85/share ($8,544 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$16.00	17d	+$0.39	-	69%	54%
Up And Out	$16.97	17d	+$0.04	-	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$20.47	45d	+$0.10	-	84%	80%
Safety Up	$20.97	45d	-$0.02	-	85%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $10,724 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.18 · $1,800 this cycle

17.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$5,400

Annualized

57%

EV / cycle

+$1,019

If assigned

-$10,724

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.65/share ($6,489 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $13.87.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.50	17d	+$0.30	$0.28 to $0.40	68%	53%
Up And Out	$13.97	17d	+$0.10	$0.05 to $0.16	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$16.97	45d	+$0.04	$-0.09 to $0.12	84%	81%
Safety Up	$17.97	45d	-$0.11	$-0.27 to $-0.04	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$16.47	45d	+$0.13	$0.02 to $0.23	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $19,024 (premium included).

Called-away odds30%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.36 · $3,500 this cycle

8.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

70%

Income / mo

$10,500

Annualized

111%

EV / cycle

+$1,316

If assigned

-$19,024

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.57/share ($5,742 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $12.84.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	17d	+$0.26	$0.21 to $0.29	68%	53%
Up And Out	$12.97	17d	+$0.06	$-0.02 to $0.06	72%	62%
Ss Escape	$15.47	45d	+$0.04	$-0.13 to $0.02	83%	80%
Safety Up	$17.97	45d	-$0.29	$-0.54 to $-0.34	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$14.97	45d	+$0.15	$-0.01 to $0.14	81%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $15 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.39 / mid $0.41 · $3,900 this cycle

30.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$3,079

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$1,854

If assigned

+$6,376

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.47/share ($14,653 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $15.40.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.00	45d	+$0.15	$0.10 to $0.24	70%	55%
Ss Escape	$14.97	45d	+$0.16	$0.11 to $0.25	69%	55%
Safety Up	$16.47	45d	-$0.38	$-0.47 to $-0.34	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $18 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.17 · $1,600 this cycle

56.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$1,263

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,308

If assigned

+$34,076

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.98/share ($19,820 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 26 at spot $18.50.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.00	45d	+$0.20	$0.20 to $0.43	70%	56%
Up And Out	$18.47	45d	+$0.01	$-0.01 to $0.22	72%	59%
Ss Escape	$18.47	45d	+$0.01	$-0.01 to $0.22	72%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $10,824 (premium included).

Called-away odds32%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $13 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.67 / mid $0.68 · $6,700 this cycle

12.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

68%

Income / mo

$6,484

Annualized

68%

EV / cycle

+$2,323

If assigned

-$10,824

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.04/share ($10,402 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $13.36.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.00	38d	+$0.17	$0.11 to $0.17	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$13.47	45d	+$0.13	$0.03 to $0.11	72%	61%
Safety Up	$15.97	38d	-$0.67	$-0.87 to $-0.74	87%	84%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-15 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.