MARA @ $11.13

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-24.6%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.

Income playbook

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds1%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $15 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.04 · $400 this cycle

34.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

99%

Income / mo

$1,333

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$388

If assigned

+$2,876

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.79/share ($7,853 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $15.38.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.00	16d	+$0.39	$0.45 to $0.63	69%	54%
Up And Out	$15.87	16d	+$0.05	$0.07 to $0.25	75%	65%
Ss Escape	$19.37	44d	+$0.07	$0.10 to $0.39	84%	81%
Safety Up	$19.87	44d	-$0.02	$-0.00 to $0.30	86%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $15,924 (premium included).

Called-away odds13%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $13 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.17 · $1,600 this cycle

16.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

87%

Income / mo

$5,333

Annualized

58%

EV / cycle

+$1,157

If assigned

-$15,924

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.62/share ($6,233 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $13.34.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.00	16d	+$0.30	$0.28 to $0.40	69%	53%
Up And Out	$13.37	16d	+$0.14	$0.09 to $0.22	72%	60%
Ss Escape	$16.37	44d	+$0.04	$-0.09 to $0.13	84%	81%
Safety Up	$17.37	44d	-$0.11	$-0.26 to $-0.03	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$15.87	44d	+$0.14	$0.02 to $0.23	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $24,024 (premium included).

Called-away odds29%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 9 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.36 · $3,500 this cycle

7.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

71%

Income / mo

$11,667

Annualized

128%

EV / cycle

+$1,696

If assigned

-$24,024

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.55/share ($5,489 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $12.33.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	16d	+$0.27	$0.21 to $0.28	69%	53%
Up And Out	$12.37	16d	+$0.10	$0.03 to $0.10	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$14.87	44d	+$0.04	$-0.14 to $0.01	84%	80%
Safety Up	$16.87	44d	-$0.23	$-0.48 to $-0.29	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$14.37	44d	+$0.14	$-0.03 to $0.11	81%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $17 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.12 · $1,200 this cycle

52.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$1,200

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$1,044

If assigned

+$23,676

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.66/share ($16,588 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 22 at spot $17.45.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$17.00	37d	+$0.28	$0.31 to $0.52	70%	55%
Up And Out	$17.37	37d	+$0.11	$0.13 to $0.33	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$18.37	44d	+$0.01	$0.02 to $0.29	75%	66%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $3,924 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 30 DTE · bid $0.36 / mid $0.36 · $3,600 this cycle

25.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$3,600

Annualized

39%

EV / cycle

+$1,865

If assigned

-$3,924

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.20/share ($12,032 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $14.37.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	37d	+$0.21	$0.17 to $0.29	70%	55%
Up And Out	$14.37	37d	+$0.04	$-0.01 to $0.10	72%	59%
Ss Escape	$14.87	44d	+$0.03	$-0.05 to $0.12	74%	64%
Safety Up	$15.87	44d	-$0.28	$-0.40 to $-0.21	78%	72%
Reliable Up	$14.37	44d	+$0.19	$0.12 to $0.31	71%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $14,924 (premium included).

Called-away odds34%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 37 DTE · bid $0.76 / mid $0.78 · $7,600 this cycle

12.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

66%

Income / mo

$6,162

Annualized

67%

EV / cycle

+$2,565

If assigned

-$14,924

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.11/share ($11,050 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 13 at spot $12.84.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	44d	+$0.12	$0.06 to $0.12	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$12.37	44d	+$0.19	$0.12 to $0.18	69%	53%
Safety Up	$15.37	44d	-$0.70	$-0.90 to $-0.77	85%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-16 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.