MARA @ $11.06

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-25.0%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $20,924 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.17 · $1,600 this cycle

13.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$6,000

Annualized

66%

EV / cycle

+$810

If assigned

-$20,924

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.52/share ($5,151 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $12.84.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	15d	+$0.29	$0.27 to $0.36	68%	53%
Up And Out	$12.94	15d	+$0.11	$0.06 to $0.14	73%	62%
Ss Escape	$15.44	43d	+$0.02	$-0.11 to $0.06	83%	80%
Safety Up	$15.94	36d	-$0.11	$-0.26 to $-0.09	87%	85%
Reliable Up	$14.94	43d	+$0.13	$0.01 to $0.17	81%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $7,124 (premium included).

Called-away odds6%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.05 · $400 this cycle

26.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

94%

Income / mo

$1,500

Annualized

17%

EV / cycle

+$265

If assigned

-$7,124

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.62/share ($6,190 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $14.33.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	15d	+$0.35	$0.39 to $0.52	69%	53%
Up And Out	$14.44	15d	+$0.17	$0.20 to $0.32	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$17.44	43d	+$0.05	$0.03 to $0.25	83%	80%
Safety Up	$17.94	43d	-$0.00	$-0.03 to $0.20	84%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $24,924 (premium included).

Called-away odds27%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.26 / mid $0.27 · $2,600 this cycle

8.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

73%

Income / mo

$9,750

Annualized

107%

EV / cycle

+$1,107

If assigned

-$24,924

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.48/share ($4,825 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $12.33.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	15d	+$0.27	$0.23 to $0.30	68%	53%
Up And Out	$12.44	15d	+$0.09	$0.02 to $0.10	73%	62%
Ss Escape	$14.44	36d	+$0.03	$-0.13 to $0.03	83%	80%
Safety Up	$16.44	36d	-$0.24	$-0.46 to $-0.26	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$13.94	43d	+$0.21	$0.06 to $0.22	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $16 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.18 · $1,600 this cycle

44.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$1,333

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$946

If assigned

+$14,076

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.58/share ($15,846 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 24 at spot $16.38.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$16.00	43d	+$0.14	$0.12 to $0.33	69%	56%
Up And Out	$16.44	43d	+$0.04	$0.02 to $0.19	72%	59%
Ss Escape	$16.44	43d	+$0.04	$0.02 to $0.19	72%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $4,024 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.36 · $3,500 this cycle

26.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$2,917

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$1,625

If assigned

-$4,024

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.27/share ($12,685 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $14.35.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	43d	+$0.11	$0.05 to $0.18	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$13.94	43d	+$0.13	$0.07 to $0.20	69%	54%
Safety Up	$14.94	43d	-$0.27	$-0.36 to $-0.23	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $19,324 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.82 / mid $0.84 · $8,200 this cycle

8.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$6,833

Annualized

75%

EV / cycle

+$2,532

If assigned

-$19,324

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.99/share ($9,860 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $12.31.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	43d	+$0.09	$0.01 to $0.05	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$11.94	43d	+$0.11	$0.03 to $0.07	68%	54%
Safety Up	$15.94	43d	-$0.81	$-1.12 to $-0.95	91%	90%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-17 21:52 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.