MARA @ $11.54

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-21.8%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.

Income playbook

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $15 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.04 · $300 this cycle

30.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$1,286

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$245

If assigned

+$2,776

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.62/share ($6,195 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.00	14d	+$0.41	-	69%	53%
Up And Out	$15.96	14d	+$0.04	-	76%	68%
Ss Escape	$19.96	42d	+$0.00	-	87%	85%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $16,024 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $13 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.15 · $1,500 this cycle

12.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$6,429

Annualized

68%

EV / cycle

+$871

If assigned

-$16,024

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.49/share ($4,885 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $13.32.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.00	14d	+$0.32	$0.30 to $0.43	69%	53%
Up And Out	$13.46	14d	+$0.13	$0.08 to $0.19	73%	62%
Ss Escape	$16.46	42d	+$0.04	$-0.08 to $0.12	85%	83%
Safety Up	$17.96	42d	-$0.14	$-0.29 to $-0.07	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$15.96	42d	+$0.12	$0.01 to $0.21	83%	80%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $23,824 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 7 DTE · bid $0.37 / mid $0.38 · $3,700 this cycle

4.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$15,857

Annualized

167%

EV / cycle

+$1,324

If assigned

-$23,824

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.43/share ($4,285 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $12.30.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	14d	+$0.28	$0.23 to $0.28	69%	53%
Up And Out	$12.46	14d	+$0.09	$0.01 to $0.07	74%	63%
Ss Escape	$14.96	42d	+$0.04	$-0.15 to $-0.02	85%	82%
Safety Up	$16.46	42d	-$0.15	$-0.38 to $-0.22	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$13.96	42d	+$0.24	$0.09 to $0.21	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $17 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.16 · $1,500 this cycle

47.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$1,286

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$963

If assigned

+$23,976

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.67/share ($16,651 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 24 at spot $17.42.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$17.00	42d	+$0.20	$0.21 to $0.40	70%	55%
Ss Escape	$16.96	42d	+$0.22	$0.24 to $0.43	70%	55%
Safety Up	$17.46	42d	-$0.05	$-0.07 to $0.13	71%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $1,276 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.38 / mid $0.40 · $3,800 this cycle

25.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$3,257

Annualized

34%

EV / cycle

+$1,816

If assigned

+$1,276

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.28/share ($12,755 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 19 at spot $14.86.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.50	42d	+$0.16	$0.11 to $0.22	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$14.46	42d	+$0.18	$0.13 to $0.25	69%	54%
Safety Up	$15.46	42d	-$0.23	$-0.30 to $-0.20	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $14,224 (premium included).

Called-away odds38%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 35 DTE · bid $0.83 / mid $0.84 · $8,300 this cycle

8.3%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

62%

Income / mo

$7,114

Annualized

75%

EV / cycle

+$2,517

If assigned

-$14,224

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.00/share ($9,997 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 10 at spot $12.83.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	42d	+$0.12	$0.06 to $0.10	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$12.46	42d	+$0.14	$0.08 to $0.12	69%	54%
Safety Up	$16.46	42d	-$0.81	$-1.11 to $-0.95	91%	90%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-18 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.