MARA @ $13.21

SHALLOW UNDERWATER

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-10.5%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Shallow drawdown. A normal covered call is reasonable; keep the strike at or above your $14.75 basis so assignment cannot lock a loss.

Income playbook

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $17 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.04 · $300 this cycle

28.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$1,500

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$255

If assigned

+$22,776

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.65/share ($6,452 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$17.00	13d	+$0.48	-	69%	53%
Up And Out	$18.29	13d	+$0.02	-	77%	70%
Ss Escape	$23.79	41d	+$0.07	-	91%	89%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $524 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.20 / mid $0.21 · $2,000 this cycle

9.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$10,000

Annualized

92%

EV / cycle

+$1,089

If assigned

-$524

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.50/share ($4,959 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $14.84.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.50	13d	+$0.37	$0.33 to $0.45	68%	53%
Up And Out	$15.29	13d	+$0.07	$-0.01 to $0.11	75%	67%
Ss Escape	$18.29	41d	+$0.12	$-0.02 to $0.18	85%	83%
Safety Up	$20.29	41d	-$0.13	$-0.31 to $-0.08	91%	90%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $4,424 (premium included).

Called-away odds29%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

25 Sep 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.31 / mid $0.32 · $3,100 this cycle

6.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

71%

Income / mo

$15,500

Annualized

143%

EV / cycle

+$1,356

If assigned

-$4,424

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.47/share ($4,683 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $14.35.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	13d	+$0.35	$0.29 to $0.39	68%	53%
Up And Out	$14.79	13d	+$0.05	$-0.05 to $0.04	76%	68%
Ss Escape	$17.79	41d	+$0.07	$-0.11 to $0.06	86%	84%
Safety Up	$19.79	41d	-$0.15	$-0.39 to $-0.19	91%	91%
Reliable Up	$16.79	41d	+$0.24	$0.08 to $0.23	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $17 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $0.48 / mid $0.49 · $4,800 this cycle

28.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$3,512

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$2,391

If assigned

+$27,276

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Called-away odds7%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $20 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 41 DTE · bid $0.21 / mid $0.22 · $2,100 this cycle

51.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

93%

Income / mo

$1,537

Annualized

14%

EV / cycle

+$1,665

If assigned

+$54,576

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $6,376 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

23 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.89 / mid $0.91 · $8,900 this cycle

9.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$7,853

Annualized

72%

EV / cycle

+$2,812

If assigned

+$6,376

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.15/share ($11,505 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $14.88.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.50	41d	+$0.18	$0.11 to $0.16	69%	55%
Up And Out	$14.79	41d	+$0.05	$-0.02 to $0.03	71%	58%
Ss Escape	$14.79	41d	+$0.05	$-0.02 to $0.03	71%	58%
Safety Up	$18.29	41d	-$0.81	$-1.07 to $-0.93	88%	87%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-19 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.