MARA @ $12.55

SHALLOW UNDERWATER

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-14.9%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Shallow drawdown. A normal covered call is reasonable; keep the strike at or above your $14.75 basis so assignment cannot lock a loss.

Income playbook

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds3%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $16 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.04 · $300 this cycle

23.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

97%

Income / mo

$1,500

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$252

If assigned

+$7,776

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.56/share ($5,574 total).

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.50	13d	+$0.39	-	69%	53%
Up And Out	$16.45	13d	+$0.03	-	76%	68%
Ss Escape	$19.95	41d	+$0.05	-	85%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $6,324 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.12 / mid $0.12 · $1,200 this cycle

11.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$6,000

Annualized

58%

EV / cycle

+$742

If assigned

-$6,324

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.47/share ($4,689 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $14.31.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	13d	+$0.33	$0.30 to $0.43	68%	53%
Up And Out	$14.45	13d	+$0.14	$0.09 to $0.21	73%	62%
Ss Escape	$17.95	41d	+$0.00	$-0.13 to $0.08	86%	84%
Safety Up	$17.95	34d	-$0.09	$-0.22 to $-0.02	88%	86%
Reliable Up	$17.45	41d	+$0.08	$-0.04 to $0.17	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $14,024 (premium included).

Called-away odds36%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $13 CALL

2 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.35 · $3,500 this cycle

3.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

64%

Income / mo

$17,500

Annualized

170%

EV / cycle

+$1,362

If assigned

-$14,024

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.41/share ($4,141 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $13.32.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.00	13d	+$0.29	$0.23 to $0.29	68%	53%
Up And Out	$13.45	13d	+$0.10	$0.00 to $0.07	73%	63%
Ss Escape	$16.45	41d	+$0.01	$-0.22 to $-0.05	86%	83%
Safety Up	$17.95	41d	-$0.16	$-0.44 to $-0.24	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$15.45	41d	+$0.18	$-0.01 to $0.13	81%	77%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $16 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.39 / mid $0.41 · $3,900 this cycle

23.5%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$3,441

Annualized

33%

EV / cycle

+$1,823

If assigned

+$11,376

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.29/share ($12,910 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $15.89.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.50	41d	+$0.17	$0.11 to $0.22	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$15.45	41d	+$0.19	$0.13 to $0.24	69%	54%
Safety Up	$16.95	41d	-$0.37	$-0.49 to $-0.37	76%	69%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Called-away odds9%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $18 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.16 · $1,500 this cycle

43.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

91%

Income / mo

$1,324

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$941

If assigned

+$33,976

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.66/share ($16,631 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 24 at spot $18.43.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$18.00	41d	+$0.21	$0.20 to $0.40	69%	55%
Up And Out	$18.45	41d	+$0.01	$-0.01 to $0.18	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$18.45	41d	+$0.01	$-0.01 to $0.18	71%	59%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $424 (premium included).

Called-away odds33%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.71 / mid $0.73 · $7,100 this cycle

11.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

67%

Income / mo

$6,265

Annualized

61%

EV / cycle

+$2,450

If assigned

-$424

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.09/share ($10,895 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $14.34.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	41d	+$0.14	$0.07 to $0.13	69%	55%
Ss Escape	$13.95	41d	+$0.17	$0.10 to $0.15	68%	54%
Safety Up	$16.95	41d	-$0.70	$-0.94 to $-0.80	85%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-26 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.