MARA @ $12.16

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-17.6%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.

Income playbook

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $16 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.05 / mid $0.06 · $500 this cycle

31.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$1,500

Annualized

15%

EV / cycle

+$398

If assigned

+$12,976

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.77/share ($7,737 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $16.36.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$16.00	17d	+$0.38	$0.45 to $0.60	69%	53%
Up And Out	$16.84	17d	+$0.05	$0.06 to $0.23	74%	65%
Ss Escape	$19.34	38d	+$0.06	$0.06 to $0.33	82%	78%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $5,824 (premium included).

Called-away odds16%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.18 · $1,700 this cycle

15.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

84%

Income / mo

$5,100

Annualized

51%

EV / cycle

+$951

If assigned

-$5,824

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.62/share ($6,192 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $14.34.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	17d	+$0.30	$0.28 to $0.40	69%	53%
Up And Out	$14.34	17d	+$0.15	$0.11 to $0.22	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$16.34	38d	+$0.10	$-0.01 to $0.19	80%	76%
Safety Up	$17.34	38d	-$0.08	$-0.21 to $-0.00	84%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $13 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $13,824 (premium included).

Called-away odds31%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $13 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.37 / mid $0.39 · $3,700 this cycle

6.9%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

69%

Income / mo

$11,100

Annualized

111%

EV / cycle

+$1,444

If assigned

-$13,824

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.55/share ($5,482 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $13.32.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.00	17d	+$0.27	$0.22 to $0.29	68%	53%
Up And Out	$13.34	17d	+$0.12	$0.05 to $0.11	71%	60%
Ss Escape	$15.34	38d	+$0.03	$-0.15 to $0.00	81%	77%
Safety Up	$17.84	38d	-$0.33	$-0.59 to $-0.38	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$14.84	38d	+$0.15	$-0.00 to $0.14	79%	74%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $15 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.36 / mid $0.38 · $3,600 this cycle

23.4%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$3,484

Annualized

35%

EV / cycle

+$1,690

If assigned

+$6,076

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.19/share ($11,928 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 17 at spot $15.35.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$15.00	38d	+$0.19	$0.14 to $0.24	69%	55%
Up And Out	$15.34	38d	+$0.06	$0.01 to $0.10	71%	58%
Ss Escape	$15.34	38d	+$0.06	$0.01 to $0.10	71%	58%
Safety Up	$16.34	38d	-$0.31	$-0.41 to $-0.30	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Called-away odds10%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $17 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.17 / mid $0.18 · $1,700 this cycle

39.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

90%

Income / mo

$1,645

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$1,034

If assigned

+$24,176

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.47/share ($14,743 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 21 at spot $17.44.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$17.00	38d	+$0.23	$0.21 to $0.40	69%	55%
Up And Out	$17.34	38d	+$0.11	$0.08 to $0.26	71%	58%
Ss Escape	$17.34	38d	+$0.11	$0.08 to $0.26	71%	58%
Safety Up	$17.84	38d	-$0.11	$-0.16 to $0.02	73%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $5,824 (premium included).

Called-away odds33%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

30 Oct 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.67 / mid $0.69 · $6,700 this cycle

11.0%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

67%

Income / mo

$6,484

Annualized

65%

EV / cycle

+$2,328

If assigned

-$5,824

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.00/share ($10,006 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 11 at spot $13.82.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.50	38d	+$0.16	$0.10 to $0.15	69%	54%
Up And Out	$13.84	38d	+$0.03	$-0.03 to $0.02	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$13.84	38d	+$0.03	$-0.03 to $0.02	71%	59%
Safety Up	$16.34	38d	-$0.67	$-0.89 to $-0.75	85%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-09-29 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.