MARA @ $11.52

DEEP DRAWDOWN
Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio
AccountU10001299
Shares10,000
Avg cost$14.75
Drawdown-21.9%
IV regimeHIGH
Writable100
Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.
Income playbook
ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾
Strike $13 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $16,024 (premium included).
Called-away odds16%
SaferRiskier
SELL 100 × $13 CALL
9 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.15 · $1,500 this cycle
12.8%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
84%
Income / mo
$5,625
Annualized
59%
EV / cycle
+$860
If assigned
-$16,024
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.51/share ($5,090 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $13.30.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$13.0015d+$0.29$0.26 to $0.3668%53%
Up And Out$13.4815d+$0.08$0.03 to $0.1473%63%
Ss Escape$15.4836d+$0.05$-0.07 to $0.1282%79%
Safety Up$15.9829d-$0.15$-0.28 to $-0.0987%85%
Reliable Up$14.9836d+$0.15$0.04 to $0.2380%75%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾
Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $2,124 (premium included).
Called-away odds5%
SaferRiskier
SELL 100 × $14 CALL
9 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.04 · $400 this cycle
25.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
95%
Income / mo
$1,500
Annualized
16%
EV / cycle
+$304
If assigned
-$2,124
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.61/share ($6,114 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 7 at spot $14.81.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$14.5015d+$0.35$0.38 to $0.5169%53%
Up And Out$14.9815d+$0.14$0.15 to $0.2972%61%
Ss Escape$17.4836d+$0.08$0.07 to $0.2882%79%
Safety Up$17.9836d-$0.03$-0.05 to $0.1784%81%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $23,724 (premium included).
Called-away odds36%
SaferRiskier
SELL 100 × $12 CALL
9 Oct 2026 · 8 DTE · bid $0.38 / mid $0.39 · $3,800 this cycle
4.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
64%
Income / mo
$14,250
Annualized
150%
EV / cycle
+$1,380
If assigned
-$23,724
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.45/share ($4,458 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $12.29.
DoorNew strikeTenorEst credit/shP25-P75POPSurvival
Credit Out$12.0015d+$0.25$0.19 to $0.2568%53%
Up And Out$12.4815d+$0.05$-0.04 to $0.0273%64%
Ss Escape$13.9836d+$0.07$-0.10 to $0.0181%77%
Safety Up$15.9836d-$0.22$-0.45 to $-0.3090%89%
Reliable Up$13.4836d+$0.18$0.03 to $0.1378%72%
Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.
Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾
Called-away odds10%
SaferRiskier
SELL 100 × $16 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.16 / mid $0.19 · $1,600 this cycle
43.2%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
90%
Income / mo
$1,333
Annualized
14%
EV / cycle
+$945
If assigned
+$19,076
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾
Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $976 (premium included).
Called-away odds19%
SaferRiskier
SELL 100 × $14 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.35 / mid $0.39 · $3,500 this cycle
25.9%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
81%
Income / mo
$2,917
Annualized
31%
EV / cycle
+$1,627
If assigned
+$976
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
NormalBalanced risk and income▾
Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $14,724 (premium included).
Called-away odds37%
SaferRiskier
SELL 100 × $12 CALL
6 Nov 2026 · 36 DTE · bid $0.78 / mid $0.81 · $7,800 this cycle
8.5%
OTM
Survival (OTM)
63%
Income / mo
$6,500
Annualized
69%
EV / cycle
+$2,309
If assigned
-$14,724
If challenged: pre-priced escape map
No pre-priced escape map: the near-term chain is too sparse to anchor an honest buyback.
stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-01 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.