MARA @ $11.24

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-23.8%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $21,524 (premium included).

Called-away odds14%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.10 / mid $0.11 · $1,000 this cycle

11.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

86%

Income / mo

$5,000

Annualized

54%

EV / cycle

+$627

If assigned

-$21,524

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.38/share ($3,829 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 4 at spot $12.77.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	13d	+$0.31	$0.30 to $0.39	68%	53%
Up And Out	$13.26	13d	+$0.02	$-0.05 to $0.05	77%	69%
Ss Escape	$16.26	41d	+$0.03	$-0.09 to $0.08	87%	85%
Safety Up	$17.26	41d	-$0.06	$-0.20 to $-0.02	90%	89%
Reliable Up	$15.76	41d	+$0.09	$-0.02 to $0.14	85%	82%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $12,224 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.03 / mid $0.04 · $300 this cycle

20.1%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$1,500

Annualized

16%

EV / cycle

+$237

If assigned

-$12,224

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.44/share ($4,372 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $13.78.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$13.50	13d	+$0.36	$0.40 to $0.46	68%	53%
Up And Out	$14.26	13d	+$0.05	$0.03 to $0.14	76%	68%
Ss Escape	$18.26	41d	+$0.00	$-0.05 to $0.13	88%	87%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $25,624 (premium included).

Called-away odds24%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

9 Oct 2026 · 6 DTE · bid $0.19 / mid $0.20 · $1,900 this cycle

6.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

76%

Income / mo

$9,500

Annualized

103%

EV / cycle

+$955

If assigned

-$25,624

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.36/share ($3,571 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 3 at spot $12.25.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	13d	+$0.29	$0.27 to $0.33	68%	53%
Up And Out	$12.26	13d	+$0.17	$0.12 to $0.19	71%	59%
Ss Escape	$15.26	41d	+$0.05	$-0.08 to $0.05	86%	84%
Safety Up	$16.76	41d	-$0.09	$-0.25 to $-0.10	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$14.76	41d	+$0.12	$0.00 to $0.13	84%	81%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $16 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.13 / mid $0.15 · $1,300 this cycle

46.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$1,147

Annualized

12%

EV / cycle

+$840

If assigned

+$18,776

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.55/share ($15,482 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 23 at spot $16.94.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$16.50	41d	+$0.22	$0.22 to $0.41	70%	55%
Up And Out	$16.76	41d	+$0.10	$0.09 to $0.27	71%	58%
Ss Escape	$16.76	41d	+$0.10	$0.09 to $0.27	71%	58%
Safety Up	$17.26	41d	-$0.10	$-0.14 to $0.04	73%	62%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $4,124 (premium included).

Called-away odds19%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.34 / mid $0.35 · $3,400 this cycle

24.6%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

81%

Income / mo

$3,000

Annualized

32%

EV / cycle

+$1,618

If assigned

-$4,124

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.17/share ($11,711 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 18 at spot $14.36.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	41d	+$0.17	$0.14 to $0.23	69%	55%
Up And Out	$14.26	41d	+$0.06	$0.01 to $0.10	71%	58%
Ss Escape	$14.26	41d	+$0.06	$0.01 to $0.10	71%	58%
Safety Up	$15.26	41d	-$0.31	$-0.41 to $-0.29	76%	68%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $16,024 (premium included).

Called-away odds33%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 34 DTE · bid $0.65 / mid $0.69 · $6,500 this cycle

11.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

67%

Income / mo

$5,735

Annualized

62%

EV / cycle

+$2,233

If assigned

-$16,024

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.97/share ($9,692 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 12 at spot $12.80.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	41d	+$0.15	$0.09 to $0.14	69%	54%
Up And Out	$12.76	41d	+$0.03	$-0.03 to $0.01	71%	58%
Ss Escape	$12.76	41d	+$0.03	$-0.03 to $0.01	71%	58%
Safety Up	$15.26	41d	-$0.65	$-0.85 to $-0.73	86%	83%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-03 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.