MARA @ $11.09

DEEP DRAWDOWN

Covered-call income plan ⌂ Portfolio

AccountU10001299

Shares10,000

Avg cost$14.75

Drawdown-24.8%

IV regimeHIGH

Writable100

Deep drawdown. Earn income while the position recovers without capping the rebound. The safest rung that still clears the income floor is recommended; Ultra Safe goes deeper OTM for the lowest called-away odds when you want maximum room above your $14.75 basis.

Income playbook

ConservativeSafe, deep OTMRECOMMENDED▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $20,724 (premium included).

Called-away odds18%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.18 / mid $0.19 · $1,800 this cycle

12.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

82%

Income / mo

$5,400

Annualized

59%

EV / cycle

+$974

If assigned

-$20,724

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.53/share ($5,285 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 6 at spot $12.79.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.50	17d	+$0.25	$0.22 to $0.30	68%	53%
Up And Out	$12.91	17d	+$0.08	$0.03 to $0.12	72%	61%
Ss Escape	$15.41	45d	+$0.08	$-0.03 to $0.13	84%	80%
Safety Up	$16.41	38d	-$0.17	$-0.33 to $-0.15	88%	87%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away odds▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $2,124 (premium included).

Called-away odds4%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.04 / mid $0.04 · $400 this cycle

30.7%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

96%

Income / mo

$1,200

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$312

If assigned

-$2,124

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.68/share ($6,802 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 8 at spot $14.76.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.50	17d	+$0.33	$0.39 to $0.52	69%	53%
Up And Out	$14.91	17d	+$0.15	$0.21 to $0.33	72%	60%
Ss Escape	$18.41	45d	+$0.11	$0.18 to $0.38	84%	81%
Reliable Up	$19.41	45d	-$0.06	$-0.02 to $0.21	87%	85%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $24,724 (premium included).

Called-away odds27%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

16 Oct 2026 · 10 DTE · bid $0.28 / mid $0.29 · $2,800 this cycle

8.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

73%

Income / mo

$8,400

Annualized

92%

EV / cycle

+$1,237

If assigned

-$24,724

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.49/share ($4,934 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 5 at spot $12.27.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	17d	+$0.24	$0.19 to $0.27	68%	53%
Up And Out	$12.41	17d	+$0.06	$0.00 to $0.07	73%	62%
Ss Escape	$14.91	45d	+$0.04	$-0.10 to $0.04	84%	81%
Safety Up	$16.91	45d	-$0.22	$-0.40 to $-0.23	91%	90%
Reliable Up	$13.91	45d	+$0.25	$0.14 to $0.27	80%	75%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

Ultra SafeDeepest OTM, lowest called-away oddsRECOMMENDED▾

Called-away odds8%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $16 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.15 / mid $0.16 · $1,500 this cycle

48.8%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

92%

Income / mo

$1,184

Annualized

13%

EV / cycle

+$995

If assigned

+$18,976

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.69/share ($16,930 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 27 at spot $16.88.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$16.50	45d	+$0.20	$0.22 to $0.42	70%	56%
Ss Escape	$16.41	45d	+$0.23	$0.25 to $0.46	70%	55%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

ConservativeSafe, deep OTM▾

Strike $14 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $3,724 (premium included).

Called-away odds20%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $14 CALL

13 Nov 2026 · 38 DTE · bid $0.38 / mid $0.40 · $3,800 this cycle

26.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

80%

Income / mo

$3,000

Annualized

33%

EV / cycle

+$1,787

If assigned

-$3,724

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $1.28/share ($12,834 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 20 at spot $14.35.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$14.00	45d	+$0.15	$0.12 to $0.21	70%	55%
Ss Escape	$13.91	45d	+$0.19	$0.15 to $0.25	69%	54%
Safety Up	$14.91	45d	-$0.20	$-0.27 to $-0.18	74%	65%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

NormalBalanced risk and income▾

Strike $12 is BELOW your $14.75 cost basis. If called away this locks a realized loss of about $20,624 (premium included).

Called-away odds37%

SaferRiskier

SELL 100 × $12 CALL

6 Nov 2026 · 31 DTE · bid $0.69 / mid $0.71 · $6,900 this cycle

8.2%
OTM

Survival (OTM)

63%

Income / mo

$6,677

Annualized

73%

EV / cycle

+$2,225

If assigned

-$20,624

If challenged: pre-priced escape map

If challenged near half-life, buying the call back costs about $0.88/share ($8,825 total). Monte-Carlo central case: challenged near day 9 at spot $12.30.

Door	New strike	Tenor	Est credit/sh	P25-P75	POP	Survival
Credit Out	$12.00	38d	+$0.15	$0.10 to $0.13	69%	54%
Ss Escape	$11.91	38d	+$0.19	$0.14 to $0.17	69%	53%
Safety Up	$15.91	45d	-$0.64	$-0.90 to $-0.75	90%	89%

Priced from today's chain via the shared anchor + Black-Scholes engine. POP = stays below breakeven; Survival = stays below the new strike.

stock_fight.py · generated 2026-10-06 03:50 · read-only, advisory. Places no orders.